A great day yesterday in the end, with the single plays going 6-1, including a 3-0 result on the Best Bets.
Onto tonight and we have another fantastic night of tennis in store. I have suggested a few multi ideas for those looking to attack the promotions available.
Best Bets (all 75% confidence)
Tommy Haas -6 games at $1.77 at Pinnacle
Kevin Anderson -3.5 games at $1.77 at Pinnacle
Florian Mayer -1.5 sets at $2 at Luxbet (eg to win in 3 sets or 4 sets)
Next Best
Berdych/Kudla under 29 games at $1.77 at Pinnacle
Sportingbet Bonus Multi
Benneteau
F Mayer
Wawrinka
Anderson
No tiebreak in Berdych match
Pays $6.57 at Sportingbet
Betfair Bonus Multi
Haas/Lu under 36 games
Berdych/Kudla under 28.5 games
Nieminen
Anderson
Pays $6.15 and is eligible for the 50% bonus
Game One – Tommy Haas vs Yen-Hsun Lu (1am AEST)
Round 1 stats
Tommy Haas |
Yen-Hsun Lu |
||
| Score | Def Mathieu 6-4 6-4 6-1 | Def Gimeno-Traver6-4 7-6 6-3 | |
| Aces | 14 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | |
| 1st Serve Percentage | 59% (42/71) | 67% (61/91) | |
| 1st Serve Points Won | 90% (38/42) | 80% (49/61) | |
| 2nd Serve Points Won | 52% (15/29) | 63% (19/30) | |
| Break Points Saved | 67% (2/3) | 50% (1/2) | |
| Service Games Played | 13 | 16 | |
| Statistics on Return | |||
| 1st Return Points Won | 36% (16/45) | 30% (19/64) | |
| 2nd Return Points Won | 56% (20/36) | 57% (29/51) | |
| Break Points Won | 75% (6/8) | 33% (3/9) | |
| Return Games Played | 14 | 15 | |
| Statistics on Points | |||
| Total Service Points Won | 75% (53/71) | 75% (68/91) | |
| Total Return Points Won | 44% (36/81) | 42% (48/115) | |
| Total Points Won | 59% (89/152) | 56% (116/206) | |
One of the most impressive stats of round 1 for Tommy Haas was the winners to unforced errors ratio. 38 winners and only 13 unforced errors is a great sign coming into a match against a player like Lu, who isn’t majorly dominant off either wing. His first serve points won % has been pretty impressive over the last couple of tournaments, however no opponents are of the standard of Tommy.
I thought I would have a bit of a look at how Lu has gone against the top 20 players over the last 3 years on hardcourt (since start of 2011). In this time period, the stats don’t make for pretty reading for Lu. Of completed matches, he has gone 0-10. He has managed to take a set on 3 occasions, however some of the losses have been quite ugly. On average, Lu is -2.56 games per set vs top 20 players on hardcourt.
Considering the form of Haas, especially with the low unforced error count, I cannot ignore the -6.5 games on offer here.
Suggested Bet: Tommy Haas -6 games at $1.77 at Sportingbet
Confidence: 70%
Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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Photo By Underneath-it-All (Own work) [CC-BY-SA-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0) or GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons
