It’s the final stages of another great season of Premier League football. The biggest games this weekend at the top end of the table revolve around Tottenham, Chelsea and Arsenal in their fight for the coveted 4th spot. At the other end of the table the relegation battle is coming to an end with a loss for Wigan this weekend against West Brom denting their hopes of survival if Villa, Newcastle and Villa all win – the positive is they have a game in hand, so it’s certainly going to get interesting. Let’s see if there are a few surprise results this week!
Best Value Bet: West Ham to win at $2.36
Norwich ($2.56) Versus Aston Villa ($3.05), Draw ($3.46)
- Norwich Last 5: LDLWL
- Aston Villa Last 5: LWDLW
Norwich is yet to lose in their past 5 at home but their last 5 home and away has been pretty patchy with 3 losses. Coming up against a Villa side that thumped Sunderland 6-1 thanks largely to a brilliant hat-trick from Benteke will be no easy feat. With 22 goals in all comps and 7 in his last 7, he’ll again be the main man here and is a good bet to score again this week. The last 10 between these two has seen 5 draws but with Villa’s new found confidence and Norwich largely safe being 6 points off the drop, this could be another good win for Paul Lambert’s men.
Predicted Result: Aston Villa 2-1
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $2.04
Confidence: 80%
West Ham ($2.36) Versus Newcastle ($3.3), Draw ($3.55)
- West Ham Last 5: DDDWL
- Newcastle Last 5: LWLDL
Newcastle were stunned and utterly thumped by a rampant Liverpool last week and with talk of a rift between the players at St James Park it doesn’t give one too much confidence heading into their matchup against West Ham. The Hammer’s haven’t lost in their last 3 at home and in fact have only lost 4 times at home all season in the top flight which is in contrast to Newcastle’s shocking away form which has seen them only win once on the road. Add to this that Newcastle have only scored 3 goals to go with 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 away and points even more to a home win here.
Predicted Result: West Ham 2-0
Best Bet: West Ham to win at $2.36 looks good value here
Confidence: 75%
West Brom ($2.5) Versus Wigan ($3.05), Draw ($3.5)
- West Brom Last 5: DLLDW
- Wigan Last 5: WDLLD
An interesting matchup here with Wigan desperately chasing 3 points for survival whilst the Baggies can really only play for getting over the 50 point mark which is a great achievement if they do. Wigan played well against Spurs last week to get a well-earned draw, though they were perhaps a little unlucky to not snatch the win. The baggie’s are coming off a strong win 3-0 over Southampton away so will be looking to consolidate that form. The only problem they have is Wigan will be up for this with their hopes of survival still alive.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.65
Confidence: 70%
Tottenham ($1.49) Versus Southampton ($7.8), Draw ($4.9)
- Tottenham Last 5: LWDWD
- Southampton Last 5: WWDDL
Spurs were lucky to get a point last week and perhaps they should have expected this given Bale’s opening goal was somewhat unexpected and a bit of a shock when he pretty much fly kicked the goalie’s attempted clearance back in the net. Southampton were well beaten by West Brom at home and perhaps this can be attributed to the fact they are safe and there is not a lot more to play for except to look towards next year. They will however know that this is a must win for Tottenham given their Champion’s league hopes so they could frustrate them. Tottenham is a pretty strong outfit at home though, so it will be tough for Southampton to get the 3 points with Spurs ambitions a driving force.
Predicted Result: Tottenham 2-0
Best Bet: Tottenham to win at $1.49
Confidence: 75%
Swansea ($5.4) Versus Manchester City ($1.77), Draw ($3.85)
- Swansea Last 5: LLDDL
- Manchester City Last 5: WWWLW
With Manchester United confirming their title win you could have forgiven Manchester City to play pretty flat for the remainder of the season. With the pressure released from City in that they know they cannot win the title anymore, they can come out and just play football and have a bit of fun as they did against West Ham last week. Swansea’s form in their last 6 has been down with no wins but their last 5 at home has been pretty good with 2 wins and a draw. This is unlikely to be a blowout, but it should be a pretty entertaining game with Swansea a good chance to sneak a point here with neither side having much to play for.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.82
Confidence: 65%
Fulham ($1.75) Versus Reading ($5.6), Draw ($3.9)
- Fulham Last 5: LDLLL
- Reading Last 5: LLDLD
Fulham hasn’t scored in their last 3 games which also brought 3 losses but they’ll be confident coming up against a Reading side that was relegated last weekend. It’s important to take into account that these 3 losses have come against top opposition in Chelsea, Arsenal and Everton. The last time these two played it ended in a 3-3 draw but with Reading having little to play for besides the opportunity to blood some younger players, it’s unlikely to be a similar result. Look for Fulham to push on for a strong win here with the opportunity to finish top 10 to spur them on.
Predicted Result: Fulham 2-0
Best Bet: Fulham to win at $1.75
Confidence: 80%
QPR ($8.4) Versus Arsenal ($1.44), Draw ($5.2)
- QPR Last 5: LDLLD
- Arsenal Last 5: WWDWD
It’ll be interesting to see how QPR approach this game given that their relegation has been confirmed and that Harry Redknapp looks to be staying on to bring QPR straight back up to the Premier league. They should play with a degree of freedom here without the pressure of having to win to survive as it’s no longer an option. For this reason they should create a number of chances but whether it’s enough to stop the quality of Arsenal is yet to be seen. QPR are capable of defending well at times but Arsenal will likely run over the top of them in the end.
Predicted Result: Arsenal 2-1
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.68
Confidence: 75%
Liverpool ($2.04) Versus Everton ($4.1), Draw ($3.7)
- Liverpool Last 5: WDDDW
- Everton Last 5: DWDLW
An Everton win here will be a great result over their Merseyside rivals and will pretty much guarantee that they finish higher on the ladder than their Liverpool opponents this weekend. The win will also give them hope of making that 5th spot for European football next season which is very much a possibility if Spurs falter. Liverpool had a massive win last week though with their 6-0 thumping of Newcastle but they need to back up that result here. The ban of Suarez will be good for the team in a way because it’ll allow Sturridge to be a focal point which he very much relishes. Coutinho will no doubt have another great game with his creativity a key to a Liverpool result here.
Predicted Result: Liverpool 2-1
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.83
Confidence: 70%
Manchester United ($2.26) Versus Chelsea ($3.55), Draw ($3.55)
- Manchester United Last 5: LWDWD
- Chelsea Last 5: LWWDW
Even though they’ve won the title already, Manchester United still came out and played some good football to get a point against Arsenal last week. They probably won’t push as hard and as desperately in their remaining games but this is one where they’ll want to get one over the team that knocked them out of the FA cup earlier in the year. Chelsea has been in pretty good touch though and have been rotating their squad effectively for the most part. They may have a couple of tired legs given their Europa league tie against Benfica during the week and it’ll be interesting to see how they mentally handle the build-up to a European Cup final and their push for top 4. United could have a bit of fun here and though they probably won’t push as hard for a win, they definitely will not want to lose. Look for the draw in this one.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.61
Confidence: 75%
Sunderland ($2.14) Versus Stoke ($4), Draw ($3.4)
- Sunderland Last 5: LLWWL
- Stoke Last 5: LLLWW
Sunderland was completely stunned by a rampant Villa earlier in the week. Di Canio won’t be too concerned but he’ll want to make sure they don’t repeat that effort against a Stoke side that are on the up again after two straight wins. The problem for Stoke is that their away form has been pretty poor for most of the season with 2 losses and 6 draws from 17 games really not good enough. Sunderland will play with a lot more grunt than what they did against Villa but Stoke are capable of making it tough for them. The loss of Sessegnon to suspension is a big blow, but they have enough quality and determination to at least get a point here.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Stoke double chance at $1.72
Confidence: 75%
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