After another hectic round of football the next Premier league games are upon us in a flash! There were some great games over the weekend including West Brom continuing their strong run with 4 wins on the trot after their 4-2 win over Sunderland. We also saw Spurs back on the winners list after 3 Premier League losses and then there was the Man City and Chelsea game which should have been a cracking match given the build-up and circumstances but ended up being quite a lame and unexciting 0-0 draw. And with that said we can now move on to the next round of games which begin tomorrow morning AEST time.
Best Value: West Brom looks excellent value at $3.1 away to Swansea – They are on a 4 game winning streak.
Sunderland ($2.25) Versus QPR ($3.30), Draw ($3.25)
Sunderland Last 5:
- LWLLD
- Goals For: 7
- Goals Against: 8
- Only won 1 of their last 5 games at home
QPR Last 5:
- LLLDL
- Goals For: 3
- Goals Against: 9
- No points in their last 5 away games
Sunderland were perhaps overrated favourites last week against West Brom and this week’s encounter with QPR is interesting given the Redknapp factor. Despite unflattering results in recent weeks, Sunderland has been playing some good football at times. Perhaps this one will end in a draw with QPR fired up for their new manager but still with a lot of work to do.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Betting Option: Lay QPR at $3.30
Aston Villa ($1.95) Versus Reading ($4), Draw ($3.40)
Aston Villa Last 5:
- DLLWD
- Goals For: 4
- Goals Against: 10
Season: Failed to score in 5 games this season
Reading Last 5:
- LWDDD
- Goals For: 8
- Goals Against: 8
Season: Failed to score in 3 games this season
Villa have been unlucky in recent weeks to not get some results they deserved but the positive is they have been playing some good football after their poor start to the season. Reading has struggled for wins with 6 draws but the positive is they have consistently scored. Villa look slightly too strong in this one given it’s at home as well.
Predicted result: Villa 2-1
Confidence: 80%
Betting Option: Villa to win at $1.95
Everton ($2.5) Versus Arsenal ($2.75), Draw ($3.4)
Everton Last 5:
- DLWDD
- Goals For: 8
- Goals Against: 8
- Failed to score only once this season
Arsenal Last 5:
- DWDLW
- Goals For: 10
- Goals Against: 7
- Of the 4 times Arsenal have failed to score this season the match has resulted in a draw 3 times
Everton have been a little up and down lately but remain in a strong ladder position in 5th. Everton will be boosted by the return of Fellaini after suspension and could be the difference. Many expected Arsenal to dominate Villa on the weekend, including ourselves, after they smashed spurs 5-2. In retrospect, that scoreline was blown out of proportion given the red card to Adebayor and Spurs early dominance. The draw looks likely in this one given both teams form.
Predicted result: Draw 2-2
Confidence: 80%
Betting Option: Both teams to score at $1.61
Chelsea (1.44) Versus Fulham ($7), Draw ($4.5)
Chelsea Last 5:
- DLDDL
- Goals For: 5
- Goals Against: 7
Season: Chelsea scored 19 goals in their first 8 games – They have lost their way in the past 5 games scoring wise.
Fulham Last 5:
- LLDDD
- Goals For: 9
- Goals Against: 12
Season: Berbatov has been the key for Fulham this season with 5 goals.
A disappointing start for Benitez on the weekend saw a 0-0 draw and plenty of boo’s from the Chelsea faithful before and after the game. Chelsea will be looking for goals here with Fulham struggling the past few weeks. It’ll be interesting to see if Berbatov again plays through midfield this week – if he does, Fulham could struggle to score again this week after Stoke stopped their scoring run after Fulham had scored 9 goals in the previous 4 games.
Predicted result: Chelsea 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Betting Option: Chelsea to win at $1.44
Stoke ($1.9) Versus Newcastle ($4.2), Draw ($3.4)
Stoke Last 5:
- WDWLD
- Goals For: 3
- Goals Against: 2
Season: Conceded the second least goals all season (11) behind Manchester City (10)
Newcastle Last 5:
- LLLDW
- Goals For: 5
- Goals Against: 7
- Drawn 4 of their last 5 away games
Whilst struggling for goals with 3 in their last 5, Stoke have still managed to gather 8 points. Stubborn and strong they will make it very difficult for a Newcastle side that is already struggling to score. Perhaps Newcastle’s bad run of form can be attributed to significant injuries to key players. Coming off a loss to Southampton, they won’t be full of confidence against Stoke. Stoke could well sneak a win here and at the very least will add another draw to their collection.
Predicted result: Stoke 1-0
Confidence: 85%
Betting Option: Lay Newcastle at $4.2
Tottenham ($2.40) Versus Liverpool ($2.87), Draw ($3.40)
Tottenham Last 5:
- WLLLW
- Goals For: 8
- Goals Against: 9
Season: Failed to score only once this season
Liverpool Last 5:
- DWDDD
- Goals For: 7
- Goals Against: 4
Season: Last defeat came against Manchester United back 23rd of September
This should be a great game with Spurs boosted by the return of Dembele off the bench against West Ham on the weekend. Last time these two met at White Hart Lane, Spurs dominated 4-0. Liverpool has been less than convincing this season but have been accumulating points steadily with 7 in the past 5. Goals will be scored in this one with Spurs scoring in 12/13 games this season and Liverpool scoring 7 in their last 5.
Predicted result: Tottenham 2-1
Confidence: 75%
Betting Option: Over 2.5 goals at $1.84
Southampton ($2) Versus Norwich ($3.8), Draw ($3.4)
Southampton Last 5:
- WWDLL
- Goals For: 5
- Goals Against: 6
- Only lost 1 of their past 5 home games (2 wins, 2 draws)
Norwich Last 5:
- DWDWD
- Goals For: 4
- Goals Against: 2
- Have not won any of their past 5 away games (3 draws, 2 losses)
Who would think that this game between lowly Norwich and Southampton could be one of the games of the week. Norwich has been fantastic lately with some massive results against Arsenal and Manchester United. Equally, Southampton is coming off two fantastic wins and playing at home here they will be all the more confident in this one. Southampton at home looks the go here.
Predicted result: Southampton 2-1
Confidence: 80%
Betting Option: Southampton at $2
Swansea ($2.3) Versus West Brom ($3.10), Draw ($3.4)
Swansea Last 5:
- DWDDL
- Goals For: 4
- Goals Against: 4
Season: Only lost once at home this season
West Brom Last 5:
- WWWWL
- Goals For: 11
- Goals Against: 6
Season: West Brom has scored first 10 times this season resulting in 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Look for them to score first here.
West Brom has been fantastic value recently and again this week look great value. Swansea has been better in recent weeks but it’s very hard to look past West Brom in this one given their 4 game winning streak. Swansea though has only lost once at home all season so will be confident given this fact.
Predicted result: West Brom 2-1
Confidence: 80%
Betting Option: Hard to go past West Brom at $3.1 here. Excellent value!
Manchester United ($1.22) Versus West Ham ($12), Draw ($6.50)
Manchester United Last 5:
- WLWWW
- Goals For: 11
- Goals Against: 7
Season: The only team yet to have a draw this season
West Ham Last 5:
- LDWDL
- Goals For: 4
- Goals Against: 6
Season: Have scored first 6 times resulting in 5 wins.
Manchester United just seems to be able to get all the results they need without being totally convincing. They can only improve from here and are looking strong for another title this season. West Ham has been decent this season after re-joining the top flight but look to be outclassed here after their loss to Spurs on the weekend would have dented their confidence. The positive is Carroll has finally scored and that will do wonders for his confidence.
Predicted result: Manchester United 3-1
Confidence: 85%
Betting Option: Over 2.5 goals at $1.48
Wigan ($6) Versus Manchester City ($1.53), Draw ($4.2)
Wigan Last 5:
- WLLWW
- Goals For: 7
- Goals Against: 8
Season: When failing to score, Wigan has had the most goals scored against (10)
Manchester City Last 5:
- DWWDW
- Goals For: 8
- Goals Against: 1
Season: City is still yet to lose this season.
It’s very hard to see Manchester City losing this one given they are undefeated all season with Wigan’s best hop to grind out a draw. Amazingly City has been incredibly hard to score against recently with only 1 goal conceded in their past 5.
Predicted result: Manchester City 3-1
Confidence: 85%
Betting Option: City to win at $1.53
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