Welcome back to a small little preview of a couple of selected MLB games. Nice to get back to winning ways with a clean sweep on Tuesdays plays. Was only a handful of games but found the right combinations. Seems to be one day win one day loss at the moment as the overall seasons profits has levelled out for the last month. Hopefully we can get on a nice little streak like we did a few months back.
Wednesday 16th
Best Bet – Rockies -1.5 $2.26 (1u)
Next Best – Over 9.5 Runs Astros/Dbacks $1.84 (1u)
Other Bets – Nationals $1.84 (0.5u)
Double – Cubs/Indians $2.38 (0.5u)
Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves (10.40am AEST)
Rockies ($1.69) – Freeland (11-7, 3.70 ERA)
Braves ($2.22) –Newcomb (1-7, 4.45 ERA)
Looking to maintain the home field advantage for the Wild Card spot, the Rockies need to make sure they are winning games against the obviously lesser teams. Nothing personal but the Braves are not on the same level, 26-34 on the road and only 1 win in their lasts 7. Sean Newcomb gets the ball for the Braves, with his team losing his last 7 starts, the youngster in 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA on the road. For the Rockies it will be Kyle Freeland whos team has won his last 3 home starts. He has gone 6-4 with an impressive 3.19 ERA at Coors Field. They do their best work at home Colorado going 36-21 on the season winning 7 of their last 10 home games since the All Star Break. They look due for some runs at home and I just think the price on them be it Money Line or Run Line is value. Id rate them at $1.50ish so the current price is juicy.
Suggested Bet – Rockies -1.5 $2.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros (5.40am AEST)
Dbacks ($1.99) – Banda (1-2, 4.60 ERA)
Astros ($1.85) – Peacock (10-1, 3.07 ERA)
The Astros have all but mathematically wrapped up their division and they are probably lucky as their recent form has not been ideal. 3-7 in their last 10 they still hold an 11.5 lead in the AL West. The will give Brad Peacock the start, he is 6-0 with a 2.64 ERA on the road, however his work since the All Star break has to be a concern a 4.10 ERA and dramatic increase in allowing base runners. For the Dbacks, youngster Anthony Banda will be give only his 4th career start. In his 2 Home starts he has given up 7 earned runs in just over 9 innings, equating to a 6.52 ERA. Both teams can score runs, add in the Chase field factor I’m pretty surprised the line is only 9.5. I feel that Peacock is regressing to his real self, not that he is a bad pitcher but he has been probably over achieving so far in 2017. I like their to be runs in this early day game so I’m taking the overs with a tad bit of confidence.
Suggested Bet – Over 9.5 runs $1.84
Other Games
Washington National vs Los Angeles Angels
You won’t get the Nats at home at this price too often, and with the Angels on a nice win streak it’s helped that. Gio Gonzalez has been amazing at home a 1.95 ERA, he has been hampered by his teams hitting in said games with only a 2-2 home record. Price is good, worth something little.
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
The Cubbies are looking to pull away in the NL central, and no better opponent then the basement dwellers in the same division. Pitching matchup favours them heavily with Kyle Hendricks getting the start, winners of 3 of their last 4, this may be the start of the streak they need to clinch a 2nd straight division title.
All Prices Quoted via Crown Bet at time of writing.
Hopefully your thoughts on the games match up with mine. As always these are only a select few games I was interested in, feel free to share your opinions on any games at @MLB_TheProfits on Twitter. Happy Punting.
