Welcome to The Profits round 10 analysis with Euan. Drew is away in Prague and Spain and has sent in his thoughts that are also expressed in the review below.
You can find Full teams from the AFL website here – www.afl.com.au
You can find an up to date Injury List here – http://www.injuryupdate.com.au/afl-injury-list.php
St Kilda Saints ($1.80) vs Richmond Tigers ($2.00) – Etihad Stadium, Friday June 1, 7.50pm
Recent clashes: Richmond 13.17 (95) drew with St Kilda 14.11 (95), round two, 2011 at Etihad Stadium
Game preview: This is certainly a good game to start the round with both teams in reasonable form and needing wins to stay in touch and maintain momentum. Interestingly the Saints come into this game on the back of their third consecutive six-day break. The last time these teams met they played a draw and the same result is certainly a possibility. On-ballers for both teams are making a strong contribution and it will be interesting to see who can win the clearances. That statistic may determine the winner.
Richmond by 18 points
Line: Richmond +2.5
Geelong Cats ($1.01) vs Greater Western Sydney Giants ($17.00) – Simonds Stadium, Saturday June 2, 1.45pm
Recent clashes: First meeting
Game preview: The only enjoyable aspect of this game for the Giants will be the drive from Tullamarine to Geelong. The Cats may not be playing as well as they did last year but they are certainly playing well enough to have a percentage boosting win over this new Sydney team.
Geelong by 80 points
Line: Geelong -76.5
Hawthorn Hawks ($1.27) vs North Melbourne Kangaroos ($3.75) – Aurora Stadium, Saturday June 2, 2.10pm
Recent clashes: Hawthorn 15.13 (103) d North Melbourne 13.8 (86), round 20, 2011 at Aurora Stadium
Game preview: The 2 AFL occupants of Tasmania should provide us with a very closely fought game. Hawthorn’s momentum hit a large speed bump last week against Richmond while the form of North Melbourne has been a little bit up and down. Both teams need to win desperately. Expect a tight finish.
Hawthorn by 32
Line: Hawthorn -25.5
Fremantle Dockers ($2.40) vs Adelaide Crows ($1.57) – Patersons Stadium, Saturday, June 2, 2.40pm
Recent clashes: Adelaide 7.12 (54) lost to Fremantle 11.13 (79), round three, 2011 at AAMI Stadium
Game preview: I wouldn’t normally pick against the Dockers when they play at home unless of course they are playing the West Coast Eagles. However, based on their very ordinary form and their inability to kick a lot of goals I am trying to figure out how they can beat Adelaide. The Crows welcome back Taylor Walker who will strengthen their line up as a added bonus for Brenton Sanderson. We can’t see the Crows losing 2 in a row here however that being said this particular home ground is a tough nut to crack.
Adelaide by 26 points
Line: Adelaide -9.5
Essendon Bombers ($1.04) vs Melbourne Demons ($11.00) – MCG, Saturday, June 2, 7.40pm
Recent clashes: Melbourne 15.11 (101) d Essendon 10.8 (68), round 11, 2011 at the MCG
Game preview: Essendon has lost just one game this season whilst Melbourne hasn’t even won their first game! At some stage during the season the Demons will get it right and on that day when we all tip against them they will win. This isn’t the day.
Essendon by 76 points
Line: Essendon -53.5
Port Adelaide ($3.05) vs Carlton Blues ($1.37) – AAMI Stadium, Saturday June 2, 7.10pm
Recent clashes: Port Adelaide 7.7 (49) defeated by Carlton 16.15 (111), round 11, 2011 at AAMI Stadium
Game preview: Port Adelaide has managed 3 wins this season so far but it’s difficult to see them being good enough to beat even an out of form Carlton regardless of the venue. History is on the side of Carlton, as Port Adelaide has not managed to win against the Blues since round 19 of 2007 and has only beaten Carlton once at home since 2005. That being said this game will be close with both sides needing a win to keep there season alive.
Carlton by 5 points
Line: Port Adelaide +17.5
Brisbane Lions ($4.50) vs West Coast Eagles ($1.20) – The Gabba, Sunday June 3, 1.10pm
Recent clashes: West Coast 13.11 (89) d Brisbane Lions 11.15 (81), round 13, 2011, at The Gabba
Game preview: We keep talking about the West Coast injuries but the Eagles continue winning and winning well. The Lions made a great comeback against North Melbourne last week but in the meantime have lost badly against top 4 teams. West Coast is top of the ladder. Brisbane usually gives West Coast a good battle at the Gabba and we should expect no less in this game.
West Coast Eagles by 36 points
Line: West Coast Eagles -29.5 points
Sydney Swans ($1.28) vs Western Bulldogs ($3.70) – SCG, Sunday June 3, 3.15pm
Recent clashes: Sydney Swans 16.18 (114) d Western Bulldogs 11.9 (75), round 18, 2011 at the SCG
Game preview: This is another good game from which it will be difficult to pick a winner. Sydney have been a bit shaky since winning their first 5 games so they need to take this opportunity to consolidate with a good win against the Bulldogs who looked anything but finals material at the start of the season but lately are in reasonable form. There is nothing but the home ground advantage that swings my tip towards the Sydney Swans.
Sydney Swans by 27 points
Line: Sydney Swans -23.5 points
Collingwood Magpies ($1.01) vs Gold Coast Suns ($17.00) – MCG, Sunday June 3
Recent clashes: Collingwood 19.15 (129) d Gold Coast 11.9 (75), round 18, 2011, at Metricon Stadium
Game preview: The Pies have won 6 in a row and the Suns remain winless. After this game on Sunday the only stat to change will be the Pies having won 7 in a row! Collingwood lost another player to a long-term knee injury giving them a total of 4 for the season! That has to be some kind of record. Regardless of the knee injury list the Magpies will be too good for the Gold Coast Suns – again.
Collingwood Mapies by 86
Line: Collingwood Magpies – 67.5
Betting
Richmond +16.5 at 1.49
Adelaide -9.5 at 1.91
Sydney -11.5 at 1.49
West Coast 1-39 at 2.20
Port Adelaide +31.5 at 1.48
Please note
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice.
All lines quoted are taken from Centrebet
