Please note
All Injury updates can be found here.
First Teams sheets can be found here.
Watch delayed games.. Live over the internet by: Downloading TVU Player, then going to Channel 80438.
Massive Multibet of the week
Qtr by Qtr leader (Centrebet) – HAW/COL/COL/COL & WCE/WCE/GEE/GEE @ $176-1
Games
Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks – Friday 7:45pm AEST
Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles- Saturday 2:20pm AEST
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Collingwood Magpies ($1.28) vs Hawthorn Hawks ($3.70)
Recent clashes: Collingwood beat Hawthorn in Round 15 by 41 points
Stats
Collingwood averages 2 more kicks per game
Hawthorn averages 6 more handballs per game
Hawthorn averages 13 more marks per game
Collingwood averages 2 more scoring shots per game
Hawthorn averages 8 more hitouts per game
Collingwood averages 8 more inside 50’s per game
Collingwood averages 2 more clearences per game
Collingwood averages 4 more tackles per game
Collingwood averages 22.85 disposals per goal
Hawthorn averages 25.46 disposals per goal
Team Changes
Collingwood: IN: Thomas, Reid – OUT: Goldsack, Fasolo
Hawthorn: No Change
The Verdict
The pies have been the team to beat all year and we think that will continue into the Grand Final. The Hawks will start with a lot of spirit and should lead at the start of the 2nd QTR but the Pies will work their way back into this game and come out the other side the winner.
Collingwood by 28
Betting Options
First goal scorer: Bateman $26 – Starting forward pocket
Most Disposals: Pendlebury – Group 1 – $4.25
4 Units Collingwood Head-to-Head $1.29
1 Unit Collingwood -17.5 $1.66
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Geelong Cats ($1.20) vs West Coast Eagles ($4.60)
Recent clashes: West Coast beat Geelong by 8 points in Round 16 in Perth
Stats
Geelong averages 8 more kicks per game
Geelong averages 21 more handballs per game
Geelong averages 3 more scoring shots per game
West Coast averages 11 more hitouts per game
Geelong averages 7 more inside 50’s per game
West Coast averages 3 more clearences per game
West Coast averages 3 more tackles per game
Geelong averages 22.70 disposals per goal
West Coast averages 24.69 disposals per goal
Team Changes
Geelong: IN: Corey – OUT: Menzel
West Coast: No Changes
The Verdict
West Coast have lost 7 of their last 8 games at the MCG, but Geelong have never beaten the Eagles in a final! A close game will be on the cards.. up until half-time and the Cats will hit 2nd Gear and take the bull by the horns and win the game.
Geelong by 32
Betting Options
First goal scorer: Naitanui $26 – Starting in forward pocket
Most Disposals: Enright $3.75 – Group 2
4 Units Geelong Head-to-Head $1.20
1 Unit Geelong -20.5 at $1.60
Please note
Majority of Betting Options are based on Centrebet’s Pick Your Own Line and supplied starting odds are based on head to head market on Centrebet. Better odds can be achieved by shopping around. Sportsbet pay significantly LESS for the Pick Your Own Line margins. Sportsbet only give better FULL line prices and better deals on first goal kicker etc.
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author will not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.