Championship (Grand Final winner)
Adelaide $11.00 Sportsbet
Brisbane $6.50 Sportingbet
Central Coast $13.00 Luxbet/Sportsbet
Melbourne City $6.00 Sportsbet/Sportingbet
Melbourne Victory $6.50 Sportingbet
Newcastle $21.00 Luxbet
Perth $12.00 Sportingbet
Sydney $6.00 Luxbet/Sportsbet/Sportingbet
Wellington $26.00 Sportsbet
Western Sydney $8.00 Luxbet/Sportingbet
Premiership (top of the ladder at the end of the season)
Adelaide $9.00 Sportingbet
Brisbane $6.00 Luxbet/Sportsbet/Sportingbet
Central Coast $15.00 Luxbet
Melbourne City $5.00 Sportsbet
Melbourne Victory $6.00 Sportsbet/Sportingbet
Newcastle $23.00 Luxbet
Perth $12.00 Luxbet/Sportingbet
Sydney $7.00 Sportsbet
Wellington $21.00 Luxbet
Western Sydney $7.50 Luxbet
To finish Top 6 (play finals)
Adelaide $1.67 Sportsbet
Brisbane $1.33 Sportingbet
Central Coast $2.00 Luxbet
Melbourne City $1.30 Sportsbet
Melbourne Victory $1.36 Sportingbet
Newcastle $2.20 Luxbet
Perth $1.91 Sportsbet
Sydney $1.42 Sportingbet
Wellington $2.80 Sportsbet
Western Sydney $1.44 Sportingbet
Wooden Spoon (bottom of the ladder at the end of the season)
Adelaide $12.00 Luxbet
Brisbane $26.00 Sportsbet
Central Coast $6.50 Sportingbet
Melbourne City $21.00 Sportingbet
Melbourne Victory $26.00 Sportsbet
Newcastle $4.50 Sportingbet
Perth $8.50 Sportsbet
Sydney $15.00 Luxbet/Sportingbet
Wellington $4.25 Sportingbet
Western Sydney $18.00 Sportsbet
I get asked a quite a bit on what my thoughts are on the futures’ markets in the A-League, and to be honest, it’s not something that gets me too excited. After watching plenty of A-League over the years I’ve seen time and time again how teams will not turn up one year, and the next they are right back in the hunt, and vice versa.
With a plethora of trades, both in and out from most teams over the break (shown in my previous write-up) it’s always hard to know how certain players are going to go in a new league, dealing with a different style of play and how they will gel with the squad that they’ve just been dropped into.
I’ve also never been that big of a fan of future bets, having to wait 6+ months to get a collect isn’t ideal in my opinion, but I know there are people out there that do like it so I’m more than happy to share my thoughts on the main markets that are available and where I think there could possibly be some value.
A little side note, not a lot of the bookies have these futures markets up so the odds come from only a few different bookmakers, I usually like to look a quite a few more to make sure we’re getting the best odds, but this will have to do.
If you have a crack at any A-League future markets best of luck, I know how hard it can be.
@AL_TheProfits
Championship (Grand Final winner)
Oh the four markets that I’m looking at I think the Championship is the hardest to gauge, soccer wasn’t a sport invented for finals series’. Usually in soccer it’s the team at the top of the ladder at the end of the season that gets all the glory, but being Australia, we wouldn’t know what to do without finals. I also better mention that I have Central Coast rated a lot higher than most people do, compared to bookies, journo’s and the twitter public, so if it was purely off my ratings I’d be taking them for the Championship, the Premiership and to finish Top 6, so I’ll leave them out so I don’t bore you with the same thing over and over again. Firstly, Melbourne City being installed equal favourite for the Championship, we need to remember that Villa won’t be playing for them at the end of the season, this looks to be big unders to me. Sydney being the other favourite, I don’t really understand this either, I think they’ll have a good season but that’s well under their correct price. And Perth, $12 for them is just laughable, they’ll really struggle to make finals, let alone take it out. The best odds in this market (other than the afore mentioned Central Coast) looks to be the $6.50 for Brisbane or the $11.00 around for Adelaide. It boggles my mind how Brisbane aren’t the favourites here, maybe their pre-season has inflated their price? And Adelaide, while they are a little bit of a long shot, I have them rated similar to teams like Melbourne Victory, Melbourne City and Sydney who are all hard in the market.
Premiership (top of the ladder at the end of the season)
The Premiership market is the preferable market if you really want to back Melbourne City, but they are still a very skinny price at $5.00, they could be a back to lay option once Villa gets on the plane. Once again Brisbane jumps out at me at $6.00, they finished last season 10 points clear at the top of the ladder, no reason they couldn’t do similar again this year. I think Perth, Newcastle and Wellington should all be closer to 50s than their current quotes, put a line through all of them. The Sydney at $7.00 and Western at $7.50 both interest me a little here; both have very good home records to ensure plenty of points throughout the entire season. Brisbane looks the smart play, but could have a nibble at the two Sydney sides too.
To finish Top 6 (play finals)
Firstly, if anyone wants the $2.20 Newcastle, $2.80 Wellington or $1.91 Perth, rather than going to Sportingbet give me a call, I’ll happily lay any of those for as much as you want, they are all massive unders, especially Perth. Adelaide at $1.67 looks a very good price; pretty positive they’ll be still alive at the juicy end of the season. The biggest lock of the year, in any sport, anywhere, is Brisbane at $1.33; that looks better than bank interest. You’d have to be a mad man to say that they won’t be finishing in the Top 6 this season; they should be closer to $1.10.
Wooden Spoon (bottom of the ladder at the end of the season)
Surprisingly the Wooden Spoon is the one that interests me the most out of these futures’ markets. There does look to be some real value available as I can only see it going to one of three teams. There is Perth at $8.50, Newcastle at $4.50 and Wellington at $4.25, and at those prices alone you could realistically back them all. The best value of the three would have to be Perth, but I think backing both Perth and Wellington would be a very good strategy. I struggle to imagine any of the other seven teams will drop this much on their performances from last season, so if you stick to those three above you shouldn’t go wrong.
Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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