With 12 games on the cards we have looked at each game. We have slightly changed how we rank games. We are giving a confidence factor to each game. Anything above a 78% confidence factor is counted as a profitable bet. A confidence factor of 95% means we believe this $1.25 bet wins 75/100 will win 95/100 times. This gives a 20% profit on the bet over time. Please leave your comments/suggestions/thoughts.
We have listed the games in order of preference. I hope they help you with your tips and picking a winning bet.
Rank | Away | Home | Win | Confidence | Line | Reason |
1 | Miami | Detroit | Miami | 95% | 0 | Miami lead series 3-0 (25, 1 and 14). Miami won 5/6 recently – beating some good teams. Detroit won 2/6 losing their last game to Atlanta. Detroit hasn’t won on the road since Feb 9 (cleveland). |
2 | Orlando | New York | Orlando | 93% | 7.5 | Orlando lead series 2-0 (9 and 6). Orlando won 4/5 recently while Knicks lost 4/5. Billups been shooting poorly and Orlando should be too good. |
3 | Indiana | Charlotte | Indiana | 90% | 10.5 | Indiana lead series 3-0 (3, 8 and 1). Charlotte lost last 3 by 11, 17 and 16. Indiana won 4/6 (lose to boston + memphis while beating Knicks, Chicago and Nets). Indiana rarely lose by this amount recently. |
4 | New Jersey | Cleveland | New Jersey | 87% | 6.5 | Nets lead series 2-1 (Cle 2, nets 8 and 2). Nets lost 4 in a row (won 5 in a row b4 that). Cleveland lost 7/8 (win by 4). Cleveland not won by 7 since Nov 30. |
5 | Washington | Clippers | Clippers | 85% | -2.5 | Washington won 1 game away all year and are 2-8 recently. Clippers are 6-4. Still can’t touch thisg ame. More juicy games out there. |
6 | San Antonio | Denver | San Antonio | 83% | 12.5 | Clippers lead series 3-0 (1, 6 and 13). Spurs 8-2, Denver 7-3. Denver have struggled to get one over the big 8 teams lately, falling short. Spurs too good here even without duncan. |
7 | Atlanta | Philadelphia | Philadelphia | 80% | 1.5 | Both teams are 2-5 recently. Atlanta were terrible in defense against Chicago last game while Philly lost a close one in Portland. Philly too good here. |
8 | Utah | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 78% | -1.5 | Oklahoma lead series 2-1 (ut 21, Ok 7, Ok 16). Oklahoma won 6/7 (loss by 2). Utah 3/7. Oklahoma way too good but cant touch line. |
9 | Golden State | Houston | Houston | 78% | 0 | Houston Lead series 2-1 (GS 4, Hou 10, Hou 9). Houston won 4 in a row, Golden state lost 5 in a row. Houston too good but too short |
10 | Sacramento | Milwaukee | Milwaukee | 76% | 0 | Milwaukee lead series 1-0 (5 points). Milwaukee 2/4, Sacramento 1/4. Milwaukee beaten high quality teams and at home playing well.. Too good here. |
11 | Toronto | Phoenix | Toronto | 73% | 16.5 | Phoenix lead series 1-0 (18). Both teams 2/5. Phoenix lost last game in triple overtime to lakers. This game has to have taken a toll and Toronto win won’t surprise. |
12 | Memphis | Boston | Boston | 70% | 2.5 | Boston lead 1-0. Boston won 3/4games. Memphis won 3/4also. Can’t touch either team, both very unpredictable at the moment. |
To achieve this line, we are using www.centrebet.com.au and we are choosing the PICK YOUR OWN LINE method allowing us to get as close to $1.25 odds for the matchs as possible. We are putting the same amount on each bet.
Previous results
N/A
Saturday 12 March(AUS Date) 2/3 – Resulting in 50% loss of one stake (0.5 line loss)
Friday 11 March(AUS Date) 2/3 – Resulting in 25% loss of one stake
Thursday 10 March(AUS Date) 3/3 – Resulting in 75% of one stake return
Wednesday 9 March(AUS Date) 3/3 – Resulting in 75% of one stake return
Tuesday 8 March 3/3 – Resulting in 75% of one stake return
Monday 7 March 2011: 3/3 – resulting in 73% of one stake return
Sunday 6 March 2011: 3/3 – resulting in 73% of one stake return
Saturday 5 March 2011: 2/2 – resulting in 56% of one stake return
Friday 4 March 2011: 4/5 – resulting in 43% of one stake return
Thursday 3 March 2011: 3/3 – resulting in 152% of one stake return
Wednesday 2 March 2011: 1/2 (one draw = refund) resulting in 40% return
Tuesday 3 March 2011: 2/2 – resulting in 48% of one stake return
Monday 2 March 2011: 2/2 – resulting in 122% of one stake return
Saturday 1 March 2011: 2/2 – resulting in 44% of one stake return
28 Februrary 2011: 3/5 – resulting in 54% LOSS of one stake return
Total Profit for Sunday 28 February – Monday 6 Februrary = 512% of bet stake Profit
Friday 25 February 2011: 2/4 – resulting in 1 bet loss
Thursday 24 February 2011: 0/2 – resulting in 2 bet loss (Bosh shot 1/17 for Miami and Miami lost by 3)
Wednesday 23 February 2011: 2/3 – resulting in money back
Tuesday 22 February 2011: 3/5 – resulting in 1/2 bet loss
Friday 17 February 2011: 2/2 – resulting in 1 bet win
Thursday 16 February 2011: 4/5 – resulting in 1 bet win
Wednesday 15 February 2011: 3/4 – resulting in 1/2 bet win
Tota Profit for the week Wednesday 15 Feb – Tue 12 Feb 2011 = 200% of bet stake Profit
Tuesday 14 February 2011: 2/4 – resulting in 1 bet loss
Monday 13 February 2011: 3/3 – resulting in 1 & 1/2 bet win
Saturday 12 February 2011: 4/4 – resulting in 2 bet win
Friday 11 February 2011: 4/6 – resulting in money back
Thursday 10 February 2011: 2/3 – resulting in money back
Wednesday 9 February 2011: 5/6 – resulting in a 1 & 1/2 bet win
Tota Profit for the week Wednesday 9 Feb – Tue 14 Feb 2011 = 400% of bet stake Profit
Tuesday 8 February 2011: 3/5 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Monday 7 February 2011: 2/7 – resulting in a 4 bet loss
Sunday 6 February 2011: 2/4 – resulting in a 1 bet loss
Saturday 5 February 2011: 5/6 – resulting in a 1 & 1/2 bet win
Friday 4 February 2011: 5/8 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Thursday 3 February 2011: 3/3 – resulting in a 1 & 1/2 bet win
Wednesday 2 February 2011: 5/8 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Tota Profit for the week Wednesday 2 Feb – Tue 8 Feb 2011 = 350% of bet stake loss
Tuesday 1 February 2011: 3/4 – resulting in a 1/2 bet win
Monday 31 January 2011: 5/5 – resulting in a 2 & 1/2 bet win
Sunday 30 January 2011: 3/5 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Saturday 29 January 2011: 5/8 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Friday 28 January 2011: 5/8 – resulting in a 1/2 bet loss
Thursday 27 January 2011: 2/3 (double bet on one winner) – resulting in a 1/2 bet win
Wednesday 26 January 2011: 5/5 – resulting in a 2 & 1/2 bet win
Tota Profit for the week Wednesday 26 Jan – Tue 1 Feb 2011 = 450% of bet stake