1. Purple Smile: Stable are confident in him going very well today with 59kg after claims. His run last start at Ballarat was very solid and a good win. Nice barrier, will be on speed or just off it and in the right grade here to win at the weights.
3. Sammy The Snake: Every possible chance last start against Purple Smile and not good enough. Fairly weighted again here. Poor barrier so will be hard to get the lead, may have to settle for outside leader at best.
4. Maharaaj: Two nice wins at Pakenham then has had to go out to country grade to try and get the wins, but he has been well beaten the last two starts. This is harder but he has ability.
5. Crackajack: Maps for a midfield position. Good win in R-58 grade three back and last start got another win just in BM-64. Much harder this.
7. Subiaso: Seems like this guy has been going around forever. Long time between wins. Last start run was fair but has to improve to go close here. Poor barrier. On the 1 week backup which is worth watching.
8. Triple Gold: Frustrating horse. Maiden only winner. Every chance the last two starts and could only manage thirds. Will be back again from the barrier.
9. All I Survey: Four runs this prep and no better than 3.3L off the winners. Struggle to see the improvement. Best run last prep was good enough but had shown good runs before that.
10. Rocknet: Nice win last start at Sale. Consistent type that always seems to run well.
11. Sir Leliani: 6.5L maiden winner over in Ireland over 2400m. First up CL1 8th. Months between runs, looks well placed if as good as is promised.
12. Braidley: Hasn’t won since being imported, alot of runs! Has gone close a few times but this is the hardest run to date. Never won at this class.
13. Maysoor: Maiden winner last start. Ran 2nd in Group 3 company as a 3YO over 2000m.. but this prep took a long time to put it all together. Best runs wer eon soft tracks.
15. Everglades: R-58 winner last start at Bairnsdale. Others preferred on form.
16. Aberfeldy: Maiden win last start at the Bool first time over the 2000m+ distance. Wasn’t the fastest time ever. Has to improve.
Comments: Not the best race to end the day, but there are only a few winning chances. Purple Smile is clear top pick while Sir Leliani as the most improvement to show today.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 7, 9, 11
Strategy: Back both Purple Smile and Sir Leliani.
Staking: Win Bets – Purple Smile 1 unit @ $4.80. Sir Leliani 0.6 units @ 8.00.
