1. Dal Cielo: Disappointing down the straight. Back to 1600m today and you would expect they try lead and set a hot tempo back on the firm track. Good enough on form to run well.
2. Mahuta: Good win last start holding off a decent type in Patch Adams. Form lines are solid and can improve on those two runs. Will need to give his best though to be a chance.
3. Marky Mark: Very talented horse back in NZ. Ran Dal Cielo to 2.3L over 1200m then backed that up with his own Group 1 win over 1400m. Two runs this prep were less than desirable but more than a month between runs should be top of his game. Only issue is minor setback coming into this.
4. Demonstrate: Non-winner! Good runs last two runs but well beaten at Moonee Valley then found another too good last start. Much harder here.
5. Gredington: Good enough run two back but then well beaten last start at Flemington. Hard to rate. Needs it really firm?
6. Patch Adams: Very strong closing sectionals last start at Flemington against the trend in the race. Going well enough to consider. May need it wetter to find best?
8. Sea of Tranquility: Hit the front a long way out last start but was ground down by an okay type in Hursley. Was clearly the heavy track that got him home second. Horrible barrier again.
9. Flying Light: Well beaten last two starts. Take on here.
10. Ngarimu: Ran a game race last start at Flemington but never looked comfortable on the ground. Back to firmer should suit.
11. Shockaholic: Not a top class horse. Take on.
12. Don’t Doubt Mamma: She’s a good type. Huge win last start at Flemington. Loves the speed on. Top class.
14. Maysam: Nice enough run 5th last start. Beaten fairly. Not for me.
15. Zafaki: Maiden winner. Average time. Take on.
Comments: Not overly confident here. Several good horses all with chances in this. Don’t Doubt Mamma the best of them while Patch Adams has shown enough to suggest he can go close.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 6, 10, 12
Strategy: Don’t Doubt Mamma to win. Smaller bet Patch Adams
