2. Who Shot Thebarman: Ran very well in the Melbourne Cup and was one who found trouble in running in the final 200m. Won 3 from 7 at this distance in the past and his run at Flemington in Group 1 class over 2000m three runs back shows he is good enough over this distance. Suited by a small field.. will be ridden exactly as they should ride him.
3. Sertorius: 5th fastest final 600m in the Melbourne Cup! Did a lot wrong but was suited by the slow tempo. Horrible previous two runs over 2400m with speed on. Needs them to run it at a medium to slow tempo to have a chance.
4. Tall Ship: Been very well backed today finally up to 2400m. Been crying out for the distance all prep. Best runs in the past though have been on wetter tracks than this. Has to have improved for mine to win at these weights.
5. Don Doremo: The main runner in the race which is outclassed. Will most likely be the leader in the race looking to setup a strong tempo which is the only way he has a chance.
6. Rising Romance: Has the turn of foot to win this if they don’t push it along out the front today. Looked the winner last start at Flemington but Gailo Chop is a tough horse to beat. Going more than well enough to win this.
7. Kirramosa: Ran very well last start behind The Offer in the Bendigo Cup. Probably should have been winning if saddle didn’t slip. Has to improve to win this.
8. Do You Remember: Horrible first up over 1600m. Straight up to 1400m and has a good second up record and record over this distance. Hard to ignore considering WFA-G1 2nd over 2200m on record.
Comments: I’m not seeing a great deal of value betting into this race. If there is a slow tempo in the race I think Sertorius and Rising Romance are proven sectional wise, while Do You Remember’s times suggest the horse has a turn of foot also. Not confident to be betting here.
Confidence 60%
Strategy: Rising Romance to win.
