1. Lord Athenaeum: Never a chance last start when missing the start by 3 lengths sitting out the back. Two runs back at Flemington just missed in much harder grade on a wetter surface. Goes just as well on a good surface though. Looks nicely enough weighted here.
2. Orion: Every chance two runs back at Bendigo and well beaten. Last start well beaten again at Ballarat. Not going well enough.
3. Pacific Heights: On speed runner. Not the worst run last start at Flemington. Two back run probably the one to rate off, was a good 4th to Digitalism. Should have every possible chance from position.
4. Tarangower: Destroyed the field last start at Moonee Valley over 1600m with authority. Will be pushing forward from out wide and shouldn’t have much trouble getting a position. Looks to be going VERY well and it’s hard to look beyond him here.
6. Sir Berus: Nice enough win last start over the 2040m. Back to 1800m not exactly ideal… the form is okay but has to improve again for mine to be measuring up here.
7. Firehouse Rock: Continues to run well this prep and keeps improving. Ignore last start, just too wet. Previous two runs were on par and looks well suited here today on those two runs.
8. Prizum: Been forever since he won. Going well enough but his best runs were 4/5 back. Back in class and not poorly weighted.
9. Mr Journeyman: Well beaten all four runs this prep. Not for me.
10. Now’s The Time: Chris Waller runner. Well beaten last two runs but won an easier race three back. Has to improve.
11. Turbo Street: Nice win last start at Bendigo from the back. Wide barrier so going back again. Big step up again here today though but has the ability.
13. Lucques: Poor last start at Ballarat. Was a good win from closer two back at Seymour, but others preferred for mine here.
Comments: Turbo Street looks under the odds for mine as the very first point at the $5.50 best around. Firehouse rock represents slight value at the $7.6 at time of writing while Lord Athenaeum is a big price off that last start forgive run. Tarangower is the horse to beat and clear top pick for me.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Back Tarangower & Lord Athenaeum
Staking: Win Bets – Tarangower for 2.5 units @ $2.60. Also back Lord Athenaeum for 0.5 units @ $11.50
