1. Smokin’ Joey: One win first up from 11 runs and hasn’t been a recent win. Always seems to take a few runs to find his best. His best on last prep is good enough but does need the run normally. Good record at the track
2. Famous Seamus: Disappointing runs last two starts. Ran nicely 4th and 5th in first two runs of the prep. Hard to see a form turn around.
3. Generalife: Nice enough run on speed. Blocked for runs. Beaten 1.3L by a decent enough horse. Previous run wasn’t good enough to win this though. Has to improve but going the right way.
4. Under The Louvre: Barrier should mean he gets a no excuse run tomorrow off the rails. Never got a run at them last start at Flemington. Will be better suited by the step back up to 1300m today and will appreciate the length of this straight. Every chance.
5. Gracious Prospect: Nice enough run on speed at Flemington last start. Was he suited by the soft track last start with 0 wins from 9 starts on soft? Going the right way.. takes a few runs to get into his prep to find his very best though. Step up in class.
6. Mister Milton: Horrible last start never a chance. Surely not on last few runs. Can’t in this.
7. Taddei Tondo: The Ton won quite well 2nd up in MUCH easier class. Big step up in grade this one and 4 runs 0 wins at this track.
8. Java: Gave in very quickly last start at Caulfield. Previous run was much better. Another month between runs. Has ability but yet to measure up to the top level of class just yet.
9. Galaxy Pegasus: Jumped poorly last start and out the back… ran well for 3rd but never winning. Costly horse with ability but has a few quirks. Hard to see in this grade today.
10. Bring Me The Maid: Very best runs in the past have been on wetter tracks. Ran poorly last start. Hard to have.
11. In Style: Just ignore the fact she went around as our best bet first up and missed the start by 5 lengths. Won’t be happening today. Will be on speed out the front leading them around and setting a very solid tempo. They will have to be good to get past her!
Comments: Old mate Under The Louvre has been well backed again today. He is clearly the horse to beat on form, as always. In Style is the value in the race and I think will prove to be very hard to get past.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: In Style E/W. Also betting Under The Louvre.
