1. Silverball: Last prep measured up with a strong win at Flemington and then finished off with a good win at Rosehill. Two runs this prep and continues to improve with each run. Step to 2000m looks ideal if we believe he is being aimed at a race like the Caulfield Cup then this should be a big performance jump. Only concern is Rail in the +2 and Silverball being a horse to sit closer to the rear.
2. Foundry: First prep in Australia proved to be a very handy type. Last prep was very disappointing but first up run had a bit of potential in the run and suggested he was clearly wanting further. Maps to get a dream run and could even be 1 back the rail.
3. Kingdoms: Well backed favourite first run this prep up at Doomben and just missed the win. Hasn’t won in more than a year a slight concern but have to believe the step up to 2000m will suit. Tricky barrier.
4. Havana Cooler: Very poor run last start in the Wyong Cup. Previous run flashed home over the 1800m and may just be wanting a dryer track based on previous records which will occur. Out the back a concern.
5. Maurus: Big first up win in BM-75 when wide no cover on speed at Canterbury with a big weight. Good barrier and maps as leader. Has to improve to hold off all of these but do believe he has alot of talent.
6. King Kinshasa: Won very well in much easier class first up in Aus for Waterhouse stable when sat on speed and won with ease. Time was solid and showed ability over in the UK.
7. Skyline Blush: Strong 1600m win last start at Wyong coming off two wins in city as well on heavy tracks. Never won on a good track certainly a concern but does have ability.
8. Temps Voleur: Big win two back at WHP and then won last start but lost it on protest to Shenzhou Steeds who has since run very well again. Good weight again today and expect to see him on speed. Could surprise.
Comments: There’s no doubt in my mind that this is a race with alot of class. Silverball is clearly the horse to beat and and loves this track based on previous runs. A small field will give Silverball every possible chance to win and there looks to be enough speed out the front to ensure a steady tempo. I’d be tempted to also have a small bet on Foundry at the price based on potential top ratings.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Silverball to win. Much smaller bet on Foundry also.
