1. Beaten Up: Continues to run well and seems to be getting better as the distance increases. Finally back to a firmer track today, stable seems confident from the barrier.
2. Junoob: Looks a minor chance on the first three runs this prep. Back to firmer clearly favoured.
3. Opinion: Found the line well enough and his last win was in this race last year. Enjoys a Good track but not sure his lead in has been ideal to consider a top contender.
4. Beyond Thankful: Very classy win in the Newcastle Cup last month from a position that wasn’t suited to the bias of the day. Previous run very solid also. Keeps on winning and enjoys all surfaces.
5. Bonfire: Clear leader of the race, stuck on strongly out the front for a long way last start and previous prep won a good 2350m race. Never measured up to this class before but last start was the right direction.
7. Almoonqith: Very nice first up run at Moonee Valley but since then has gone backwards a bit. Yes, he ran on nicely enough last start at Caulfield from probably an unwinnable position, but he was still beaten 1.5 lengths by magnapal! Up to 2400m today should be suitable but he will certainly be a long way back. Needs the full straight.
8. Magic Hurricane: Keeps going from strength to strength this prep. Two back won well beating Silverball and made the next step up last start when 0.2L 2nd in WFA-G2 class. Wants the the 2400m today and has a great record over distance.
9. Chance to Dance: Ran fairly last start 8th but well beaten off. Good win two back. Not convinced 2400m is his key distance but should handle it.
10. Orbec: French import that measured up to the top level over there. Three runs to date for 0 wins in Aus a concern even though he has been close each run. Improvement required.
12. Disclaimer: Not going well enough to consider even a place chance today.
13. Maurus: Did a lot wrong last start when slowly away and had to fight for a spot. If jumps with them today can be on speed and much better suited. Has ability.
14. Havana Cooler: Well beaten the last two runs in similar company. Needs to improve to place.
15. Ghost Protocol: Not convinced his racing style and class is enough in this grade.
Comments: I have to side today with Beaten Up on the each-way back to the firmer track. If he is ever going to get a big win, this is it today in this class at these weights. I think Magic Hurricane is the horse to beat and Maurus looks the value.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 4, 7, 8, 13
Strategy: Beaten Up E/W
