1. Speak Fondly: Multiple Group 2 winner at age group. Last start respectable 2nd to Exosphere and beat home Press Statement. Must be considered at weight scale today. The one to beat.
2. Kimberley Star: Well backed favourite the last two starts and failed to win either run. Metalic Crown came out and failed since. Lost to Speak Fondly three back also. Others appeal more.
3. Perignon: Beaten by Speak Fondly first up this prep then failed next start with thumps and poor post-race recovery. Has ability.
4. Honesta: Huge run from the back last start at Randwick when just missed running down Pearls. Multiple 3YO winner up at Doomben – generally a track favouring front runners, suggests she is going as well as that run looked.
5. Pearls: Bounced back last start up in distance with a much better run than seen previously to surprise and win. Won’t get ground anywhere near as soft today. Much harder today.
6. Flamboyant Lass: Good win first up on Heavy and then a little disappointing finding one too goo last start at Rosehill when had every possible chance. Has to improve onwards again today.
7. Sempre Libera: 1 win from 5 starts and started shorter than $6 the last four runs. Best runs seen on wetter tracks. Stil goes okay on Good. No thanks.
8. Ocean Tempest: Two good runs after winning her maiden but when it’s been time to knuckle down adn win she hasn’t had the ability. Concerning in this grade.
9. Gone to Paris: Came on from well back last start at Rosehill. Minor chance on that run.
10. Sofia Rosa: Disappointing first up run in AUS behind Pearls. Need to improve.
11. Lauren’s Magic: Couldn’t win a maiden.
Comments: I’m a big fan of Speak Fondly and this would be the only way i could bet in the race is to back the horse to win. Confidence is lower than other races due to the price being bet, getting down to rock bottom odds now.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6
Strategy: Speak Fondly to win.
