1. Terravista: Strong first up record and won 4 from 6 runs over this distance in the past. Obviously well weighted under WFA conditions and is rock hard fit coming into this today. No reason why he can’t win.
2. Rebel Dane: Impressive win first up in Group 2 company running down Ball of Muscle on the post. The run had a lot of merit but he does have to improve again today to win this.
3. Tiger Tees: Two horrible runs last prep… hard to believe he will come back and produce that… but i can’t have him first up here against this group.
4. Famous Seamus: First up run was good when out the back and ridden on the inside instead of going wide… but couldn’t finish off late. Step back to 1200m should suit and can be saved for the final 300m today. Don’t be surprised to see him improve again and be a contender.
5. Hot Snitzel: Ran about as expected first up, he was a nice run but well beaten on the day. Will improve 2nd up but feel he is better later into his runs and this looks a tough task.
6. Generalife: Measured up to Group 3 company last prep first up with a win then ran well in WFA-G1 behind Dissident, Boban and Srikandi types. Back to 1200m first up… better over further is the thought.
7. Rock Sturdy: Decent horse but as we saw first up he is just a class grade too far out of his depth coming into this one. Could place.
8. That’s A Good Idea: Measured up around Ball of Muscle and Target in Sight last prep with good sprints. Have to find 2 lengths to beat these home today though is the concern.
Comments: When all is said and done, Terravista is the horse to beat here and the $2.20+ being bet is more than respectable. Very happy to take this and quite confident. Rebel Dane the only threat for mine and prices suggest that.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Terravista to win.
