Welcome to The Profits preview for Randwick on 13 February 2017. Just the two bets for us today at Randwick with a look at the delayed meeting. Hoping we can finally land more than one big bet on the day and it works out well for us this Monday! As always, I hope you have a good day. Good luck and happy punting.
Best Bet
Randwick Race 6 – First Approval – 1.5 units Each-Way @ $5.50/$2.10.
Next Best Bet
Randwick Race 5 – Dothraki – 1 unit @ $6.50 to win. Defcon – 1 unit @ $7.00 to win.
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Randwick Race 5 – 1200m – The Chi-X Southern Cross Stakes
Several interesting form lines here and strangely Impending has gone up a short priced favourite coming off a prep where his highest rating runs were over 1400m+. He was defeated 3.7L last prep first up over 1200m and he doesn’t deserve to be heavily backed here.. and the drift is on.
Dothraki was fairly beaten as favourite up at the Gold Coast last start, but the run was better than it looks heading into this race today. While Le Romain won a Group 1 last start but comes in with a big weight into a distance that isn’t his very best.
Defcon is the horse i’m really excited to see returning to the track today. He proved himself as a 2YO and then first up last prep as a 3YO taking out a Group 3 race at Caulfield with some nice closing sectionals. Forgive the last start run where he pulled up lame.. he is back to his best at home and ready to fire here.
I have to bet around the favourite and Le Romain and the two clear standouts are Dothraki and Defcon.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Dothraki – 1 unit @ $6.50 to win. Defcon – 1 unit @ $7.00 to win.
Randwick Race 6 – 1600m – Trainer Connections Spring Stakes
There are new world beaters in this race today and this is a great opportunity for one of these horses to take our a Group 3.
My eyes are set on the Snowden runner First Approval that comes into this race with some largely franked form behind Farson from last start at Caulfield. Ran wide last start and still got within 0.5L of the winner… starts from the barrier 1 and maps to get the ideal run on the rail throughout the race to launch an assault late in the piece from probably 2 back the rail. There doesn’t seem to be more than 4 main chances in this race and the price on offer for First Approval has me betting confidently here.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: First Approval – 1.5 units Each-Way @ $5.50/$2.10
