Gear Changes: Sir Mako – Tongue Tie First Time – Bubble Cheeker Near Side On First Time
1. Crafty Cruiser: Won at course and distance in this grade last start with 1.5kg less. Certainly up against it at the weights but he always runs a good race and loves to upset them. Good horse and can win.
2. Reigning: Every chance last start at course and distance behind Crafty as 2nd favourite. Firmer track today but not sure that should turn around the results that much? Good barrier again maps well.
3. At First Sight: Back to firmer ground last start at Caulfield just missed 2nd to Our Voodoo Prince. Up to 2500m should suit based on previous preps runs and is going well enough short backup ideal. Barrier the only issue.
4. Kareeming: Ran very well 3rd to Crafty Cruiser last start from midfield. Equal weight today and lost a plate last start! Should be pushing forward and be able to get a good position without a load of work. Key chance.
5. Sir Mako: Last two runs very poor…. has the ability to measure up on previous runs in NZ over this distance though.. best runs on wetter though.
6. Westsouthwest: Loves to run a 2nd. Close 2nd two back to Crafty here from out the front and then 2nd to Vatuvei over the hurdles since. Better on wetter.
7. Miss Mossman: Disappointing runs in Australia. Looked a really good type in NZ but failed both runs to date. Up to 2500m a throw at the stumps? Should run well but certainly hard to trust on what we have seen to date.
8. You Think So: Big win last start back to easier grade at Bendigo last start. Can run well but certainly need to look at two back run and compare.
9. Hula Lua: Decent horse on her day but happy to take her on today on recent form.
10. Zazpaella: Last two runs not good at all. Back to dryer but shouldn’t make a difference.
11. Sir Laszlo: Couldn’t win easier grade last two starts. Looks only rated if finds best on Good but hasn’t on recent form.
12. Back to Abilene: Just beaten two back by You Think So then come out and won since. Harder grade today though.
13. Cuban Fighter: Back to dryer surface today no thanks.
14. Star Darci: Moving through the grades but this is surely a step beyond.
15. Maharaaj: Doubt he gets a run, even if he does he only won in BM-64 last start by 0.1L. Take on here.
Comments: Tough way to end the day. Kareeming stands out on the E/W here as the most progressive and well weighted horse in the race.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Strategy: Kareeming E/W
