Crafty Cruiser: Ran very well i thought last start behind Bagman and looks well suited back up to 2500m today. Always runs consistently well at Moonee Valley but doesn’t exactly win here with 1 from 15! Doesn’t map the best but you know he has the ability.
Multilateral: last prep won a listed race (as favourite) at Randwick. This prep has run dead last, 11L and 15L 2nd last. Hard to have.
Danchai: Won the cup over in Ipswich and then since then failed since with 5.5L 3rd, 2L 6th and 9L 5th. First time at track today and should appreciate a track that isn’t firm or heavy you would imagine. Barrier helps.
Cooldini: Close 2nd to Crafty two back then found nothing last start at Flemington. Only one peak run this prep is hard to follow into this race today form wise.
Reigning: Continues to run well this prep after beating Bagman. Track conditions look ideal and barrier 3 should see him hopefully not out the back today. Has the ability but 2500m does look a test.. but did get the 2350 last start.
Sir Mako: Beat Reigning two back but then failed hard last start at Canterbury. Hard to trust on that form. Looks to be wanting 2500m on NZ runs.
Kareeming: Very poor last start at Flemington over 1600m… no surprise just went for the run. Back to 2500m today and looks well suited as expected – beat home Crafty Cruiser two back.
Secessio: Think you probably just ignore last start and look to two back run. Has the ability to run very well today at his best.. but have to remember 0 wins from track to date and barrier is horrible.
Doctor Care: Continues to find a way to win. Had a very good prep to date and the 2500m looks ideal… question is if he has enough class to measure up.
Westsouthwest: Very poor run at Flemington last start compared to easier previous runs at Caulfield and MV. Clearly wants sting out and won’t get as much as wanted today.
Artistic Lass: Consistent type in mares grade but this is open class BM-96 today and looks a very tough ask. Place at best for mine.
Zazparella: Well beaten last start. Okay win on heavy two back… not going to be wet today though. Pass.
Red Fella: You have to respect the run two back 5th to De Little Engine at Flemington and ignore last start when it was too wet. Maps very well today from barrier 6 and looks a massive chance at big odds.
Thubiaan: Old mate just here for a run around today. Can still run well at this distance but can’t see a win.
Stand to Gain: Another jumper just here for a run between jumps to keep up the fitness.
Gold to Go: Gains a run. 4 runs for 0 places at track. Last start ran fairly at the Bool but that was a heavy track. Did run 2nd three preps ago over 2400m to Epingle in Group 3 company in Tassy but hasn’t found that form since.
Comments: Wide open race to end the day, Sir Mako looks a false 2nd favourite on my ratings while Reigning will need a hell of a ride to win as favourite. Red Fella maps perfectly to run a huge race at massive odds.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 13
Strategy: Red Fella E/W
