Instrumentalist: Best runs over further. First up run clearly showed needs another run.
Streets Away: Not the worst run home all things considered last start at Flemington behind Charmed Harmony, but still has to keep improving which generally occurs 2nd up with this horse. Goes well at this track… best over further in the past though.
Ruscello: Long way back to this today returning from injury. Expect he needs the run and is wanting further.
Count of Limonade: A long time between drinks for this bloke, but he isn’t the worst at all going around today… but last prep and this prep hasn’t been within 4L of a victory… needs further for sure.
Digitalism: 6 weeks between runs but 8 weeks if you consider the fact he never got a run last start in the straight! Was a moral beaten that day. Back to 1600m today a huge concern for mine.. believe his best is over further than this and may just see him lose it.
Sino Eagle: Thought her last two runs were improved and she continues to get fitter into this prep. Step up to 1600m is an unknown though that doesn’t look to be what is required for this girl to get a breakthrough.
Freshwater Storm: Very good run last start at Flemington and will be fitter for the run. gets a more suitable ground today but 7 runs fro 1 place at this track… his best is at Caulfield and never gives us alot here.
Lake Sententia: Shown nothing all prep and doesn’t expect different today.
Vizhaka: Ran home nicely enough last start behind Charmed Harmony but that is expected off that pace. Up to 1600m suits certainly.. best runs on fast tempos deeper into preps than this.
Pin Your Hopes: Shown nothing all prep after a good 2nd up run.. hard to suggest even with a break between runs.
Raposo: Hard to speak poorly of him… but $2.20 favourite first time up in open grade after winning in 3YO company… yes the runs were good and impressive, but is there enough speed in this race today? I couldn’t take the odds.
Leveraction: Finally back up in distance after three runs this prep. Expect them to be pushing forward with no weight today to steal the race. Don’t be surprised if it happens!
Comments: On paper this is a very average field with many a runner just going around for fitness today it appears. That is a concern for the $2.2 faovurite Raposo that will have horses falling back onto him if he doesn’t go around them. So you have the favourite almost certain to be going 5-6 wide. Leveraction is the value in the race at $71/$15 best price around currently with 51kg after claims… I can see a stack them up then just go from 800m out kind of run and it could work here especially if the rail is on.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 5, 6, 11, 12
Strategy: Leveraction Each-Way (I’ll most likely be 2 units place 1 unit win)
