Gear Changes: Esclair Choice – Blinkers First Time, Fast Cash – Visor Off First Time
1. Gregers: She was a costly girl last perp going so close in all of her runs. Has a very good first up record and the stable are confident she is going well enough. Goes very well at this distance and loves Moonee Valley. Tricky barrier the only downside.
2. Le Bonsir: Ran very well last start at Flemington in Group 3 company and trainer would have to be happy with that. Best runs have been 1200m+ for mine in the past… dryer track and loves this track, have to consider!
3. Eclair Choice: Very consistent type who has placed in 10 of 12 runs to date having won 4 of those. Best runs seen on Good tracks and has won at track previously. 1000m may just be too short for him especially first up for mine.
4. Mr Make Believe: Ran nicely enough last start when 4th to Our Nkwazi. Obviously have to improve again today on that last start run to measure up. Good barrier but poorly weighted here.
5. Our Nkwazi: Proved the haters wrong last start winning at course and distance at nice odds. Did the same five runs back as well. Have to consider him a winning chance again today but best runs have been on wetter.
6. Il Cavallo: Hit the front and had the race won last start and then got claimed late by Our Nkwazi, nothing was winning that day from out the front and got there a little early in the lesser ground it seems. Best runs in past have been on softer ground than good so ground today that i’m expecting won’t be entirely ideal… but this horse is class and you have to respect.
7. Fast Cash: Two runs for two wins first up in the past including a 3Y-SWP at course over 1200m. Should handle distance no issue… this looks a much harder task first up though. Maps nicely.
8. Tansy: Continues to run well this prep… consistent type. Nice barrier again today helps and finds a dry track for the first run in 4… could that make him measure up?
9. Just Magical: Won firs two runs of last prep but then found a few too good in harder class. Struggle to see fully measuring up here today.
10. Beach Front: Very poor run first up, was horrible. Back to dryer track but no chance i can back today after that first up run.
11. Sweet Emily: Just didn’t enjoy the soft track first up but not sure that’s entirely the whole excuse. Good record at track, distance and second up. Weighted nicely enough from barrier 1 is the likely leader. Hardest test yet.
12. Klishina: Ran wide during race but had every chance for mine last start and didn’t find alot when asked. Needs to improve on last few runs today to win from poor barrier.
13. She’s Ellie: Going nicely but hard to see winning this.
Comments: It’s not hard to understand why Gregers is so short today. Ran 2nd to Group winning Platelet by 0.1L first up last prep.. just beaten by Politeness 2nd up and 0.1L 2nd in FM-GP1 to miracles of life before 2L 6th in Group 1 to end prep. She is a top class horse and the only disadvantage that could get her beat today is the barrier. The others have a lot to prove to beat her home.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 11
Strategy: Gregers to win.
