Gear Changes: Scream Machine – Stallion Chain & Barrier Blanket & Cross Over Noseband Off, Galaxy Pegasus – Lugging Bit Off & Standard Bit On & Tongue Tie On
1. Fast ‘n’ Rocking: Horrible barrier. Ran quite well first up all things considered at Caulfield. Top weight doesn’t exactly help from the barrier, but goes very well at this track and has won 2nd up previously. Will need to peak 2nd up to be beating this lot on first up run.
3. Griante: Disappointing both runs this prep but i think she will be finding her best here today back to the scene of her best run last prep. Will be pushing forward from a wide barrier and will need a bit of luck to get a good run.
4. Scream Machine: Needs further. Never won at distance or run at track.
5. Moonovermanhattan: A long time between drinks and best runs have been over 1600-2000m out the front. Needs the run.
6. Solsay: Very disappointing all three runs this prep. Hard to consider today and hate the jockey on board.
7. Rose of Choice: Competed in the higher FM-Group races last prep up north and did okay with 4th and 5th behind horses like Hazard. Hasn’t won since 2013 over 1400m.
8. Chivalry: Hasn’t won since I said the horse ‘Wouldn’t win another race this prep’ after beating an average lot at Caulfield suited by the tempo! Have to improve to place here.
9. Fell Swoop: been smashed in betting after a strong 0.5L win last start at Randwick. Up to 1200m much harder here even from a good barrier.
10. Galaxy Pegasus: Very good recent trial from a good barrier and will be going forward. Coming off a wind op always a query but the stable have a big ability, did hint that there is better to come down the track… did win a 3Y-GP3 and run 2nd in another over this distance and won at this track also.
11. Pilly’s Wish: Nice run for 2nd last start at course and distance. Much harder today even at the weights and Oliver jumps off. Place price more appealing than win.
12. Tansy: Had every chance last start at course over 1000m but just wans’t good enough in this class. Down 2kg and up 200m doesn’t look suited.
13. Beach Front: Horrible her two runs to date. No chance on that form.
14. Just Magical: Surprised a few with a very strong 2nd at course in this class first up. Up to 1200m should suit on previous runs and looks well suited. Horror barrier the downside.
15. Fast Cash: Poor first up and found very little. 1200m better suited but even so hard to see the win on that first up run form.
16. Just For Starters: Respect the first up win but found nothing since. Hard to have.
17. Who You Know: Outclassed here.
Comments: Fell Swoop is massive unders on my ratings today. Yes, there isn’t exactly a load of top class runner sin this, i’ll agree and i’m even a bit surprised to see Rose of Choice and Chivalry in single figures, but Griante and Galaxy Pegasus are group horses while Fell Swoop is unproven and i wasn’t exactly impressed with the last start win so i’m happy to take the horse on here.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 7, 9, 10
Strategy: Galaxy Pegasus to win. Smaller bet Griante to win.
