1. It Is Written: This bloke loves this track with 7 wins on it! Not many horses can say that! Goes well at this distance and maps well from barrier 6 with the speed on out front. Last two runs obviously strong enough to be considered here back to the 1200m. Hopefully they try sit slightly closer to midfield today.
2. Rain Affair: Hasn’t placed in 8 run and hasn’t run top 2 in 14 runs.. yet he is going around at single figures today. I have to admit his run in Group 2 company last start was quite good, but up to 1200m not ideal for mine considering this horses issues. Tough weight.
3. Hard Stride: Not sure what to make of his first two runs this prep. They were horrible. He was no where near winning. Last prep he won 3rd up. I just couldn’t back him off those last two runs but we know he clearly has the ability to win.
4. Sea Lord: Old mate loves to pop up and win one every so often, but he got away with murder winning his last race. Not as good as half of these for mine.
5. Mecir: Ran just fairly last start at Caulfield when had every chance off a slow tempo. Just not the same horse as previous preps and 1200m not the best distance for mine.
6. Majestic Duke: This guy has a lot of talent winning 6 of his last 9 races of last prep. Never won first or second up an issue and best over further.
7. Cashed: 0.8L 2nd in WFA-G2 company last start at Caulfield and down 3.5kg today.. but in reality that race didn’t actually rate as a top quality race… but that being said can you ignore the horse? It’s going well.
8. Solsay: He just isn’t going as well as previous preps this bloke just yet. He went well the last two runs but they need to ride him colder to get the best out of him and that won’t occur today from the good barrier.
9. Reldas: Gun ride from Parnham last start at Moonee Valley over the 950m and stole the win. Much harder this today but 55kg and he is a proven class horse on runs previous preps at course and distance. If he produces his best, at the weights, he wins by lengths.
10. Galaxy Pegasus: Did a lot wrong last start at Caulfield and is a forgive for that run. Previous few runs he went well.. looks overs.
11. Tudor: Absolutely hard-breaking 4th last start at Cranbourne when never got a run behind General Jackson and It Is Written. Won’t get an on-speed position as easy today though from the wide barrier is the massive issue.
12. King Buddy: Even at his very best he wasn’t good enough to measure up to this in 2013. Hasn’t shown enough recently to suggest a place.
Comments: Not the easiest race on the card. The only way I can play in this one is to take Reldas coming over the top of them late from the back. He will get the course to suit today and the speed will be on to set up such a swoop.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 7, 9, 10, 11
Strategy: Reldas Each-Way.