1. Rifleman: Tough top weight today first up over the 955m distance. Barrier means he will need luck to get a spot or will be out the back early. Will get the desired pace on.
2. Grane: Nice enough run 2nd last start in BM-90 grade and down in class today up in weight. Good barrier and will probably get a ride for luck from this barrier.
3. StratumSphere: Goes ‘okay’ first up but didn’t go very well over this distance first up last prep. Best runs over further in past but does go okay enough at 1000m so should be fine over this really. Has ability.. tough from barrier.
4. Canali: Old mate.. hasn’t been the same for two preps and first up run gave very little hope of a return to best form.
5. Fab Fevola: My favourite! Finished last prep with a 1.5L win at course and distance, 5L off in a WFA-G1, 2L off in Open class, 2.5L off in open class and then 2.5L with thumps in R-82 on unsuitable surface. He measured up all last prep over this distance and more importantly, in these classes. Trainer has been patent holding him back a few weeks for this run to make sure he was fit enough for this after a solid enough jump out 3 weeks back. Wide barrier no concern.. jump… lead… pray final 184metres! #GoFabby
6. Klishina: Last five runs failed to place. Back in grade again today looking for a winable race. Have to suggest she is going well enough to figure in the finish if the step back to 950m is suitable.
7. Bullpit: A little surprised to see this bloke so short in the betting today. Won 2 of his last 14 runs. First up he won over in Adelaide beating an average bunch and then last start at course and distance was beaten by a decent type in Tuscan Sling. Won’t get an easy time out the front today either.
8. Pretty Possum: Finished off last prep in top form with a 2nd to Hazard and just beaten 2nd to Grane at Seymour. Wide barrier and hot speed on an issue today.
9. Trevinder: Ran very well last prep but never actually got a win always just missing. Deserved the label of cat and got it last prep. Goes well first up and goes well at this track, but you have to have patience and catch this guy on his day.
10. It’s Poets Day: Ran well on speed last start at course and distance 3rd behind Bullpit. Has to improve onwards again to measure up.
11. Emerenta: Two decent runs last prep just missing in both on wetter tracks. Back to dry track today, you have to consider her a chance if she can get to her best, but she hasn’t ever got past horses of this class in the past.
12. Berlutti: Just snuck home first up at Cranbourne from on speed getting all the favours. Should be going up in distance instead of down today to find his very best.. won’t be suited by the tempo over this distance as well as a few others… but you do have to at least include in multiples.
13. Royal Spinner: Won 4 from 8 but has been racing in much easier company in the country than this. Tough task.
Comments: I’m a fanboy of the highest degree, but I can’t believe they are giving us $14 for Fab Fevola here. It won’t be an official play of any kind, but you know i’m on. Klishina looks the horse to beat today for mine and with the speed on out the front she should be well suited.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg One: 2, 5, 6, 7, 11, 12
Strategy: Klishina to win. Smaller bet Fab Fevola.
