Moonee Valley Race 5 – 2040m – Jockey Celebration Day Handicap

Horse Racing - Australia

Bagman: Huge win last start at Flemington.. it was a bit of the horse running to an absolute peak being ridden further forward than previous starts and a bit of Oliver getting him over the line. One run for one win at this course in the past and barrier 1 looks ideal to sit midfield the rail and get the last shot at them. has to be considered on current form as a leading chance.
Diametric: There was a tip-up for him last start at Caulfield and he didn’t disappoint finding the line strongly to finish just 2 lengths off the win. Get the feeling he needs another run today to bring him on though.
Lord Durante: Just ignore the fact he went around last start and rate on two previous runs. Best seen on soft to good which we should get today. Loves the track and generally runs well even if he doesn’t win. Rates nicely at weights.
At First Sight: Hasn’t won a race since his maiden in 2009… yep he is a 9YO now… still… has won $874,000 in prize money so can’t exactly laugh at that. Looked a good thing beat a few times last prep and up to 2000m will certainly see improvement.. but suspect he wants a few more runs to find best and a wider track.
Hioctdane: Consistent type. Won 4 in a row before well beaten at Caulfield by Lord Durante and then finding one too good last start in Adelaide. Has the ability and will roll forward.
Our Voodoo Prince: One time Caulfield Cup favourite… it’s been a long time between drinks for this once very talented galloper. They have tried everything and just keep finding a few too good. To be fair a 2nd to Pornichet isn’t terrible form in Group 3 company this prep, but has been well beaten the last 2 runs. Back to a firmer track may have him better in.
Honourable Aussie: Old mate loves to pop up wit a win out of the blue and while he was running well last prep he just couldn’t get a win. Rolled forward to lead last start and got the win well at the bool. Has ability.
Venture On: Though he ran on very well last start all things considered. Never looked a winning chance for mine with the others swooping but did run well. Can run well again.
Distant Dreams: Massive step up in class for this girl who is just simply outclassed here. Place at best.
Ruary Mac: Shouldn’t even be on this track, it’s an insult. Couldn’t win BM-50’s this prep.

Comments: Team Waller vs Team Weir if the betting is anything to go by! Distant Dreams will make sure the speed is on out the front and Bagman will be the one to beat.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Bagman to win.

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The Profits

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