1. Holler: Pushing forward from the barrier and should have no issues getting a spot on the speed today. Beaten by a good horse last start at Caulfield and can improve off that run here today back to the 1200m. Looks suited.
2. Demonstrate: 2 months between runs. Measured up to this grade the previous two runs. Clearly has the ability.
3. Mawahibb: Keen Array form lines.. well beaten last start over the 1200m when set a strong tempo contesting the speed. Will be going forward agian today from the barrier and will need a gem to pull off a win against this lot.
4. More Than Most: Hard to suggest he is good enough to be considered against this lot on previous runs this prep… but the drop back to 1200m may do the trick.
5. Well Sighted: Very strong 4th two runs back over a similar distance and just didn’t enjoy the 1400m last start. Tricky horse to catch.
6. Ability: As the name suggests, the horse obviously has ability… but just needs to show it today. Has to find at least a length on the favourite.
7. Brockhoff: Well beaten last start in similar grade at Flemington. Will have trained in with a month+ between runs but needs to make the next step to be in this.
8. Truculent: Decent maiden win first up this prep but failed hard last start. Think you forgive the last start run and rate on maiden win.
9. Von Vacheron: Maiden only winner and times didn’t impress on paper.
10. Atlantic City: Very slow maiden victory first up. Bred well enough to suggest improvement.
11. January Rain: Average barrier trial. Struggle to see why the horse is in this.
Comments: A better barrier today would have seen Mawahibb alot shorter in the race. While there are a few chances, the clear danger for mine on paper is Holler. At the price, we are able to back Mawahibb and saver Holler.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Mawahibb to win. Saver bet Holler.
