1. My Poppette: Can’t hate on the run last start at Flemington leading into this. Was an improvement… has to find more today though.
2. Air Apparent: Looked to be going well all run last start and finished off well in a race run and won by the leaders. Has the class.
4. Seeking Asylum: NSW form. 2YO winner at Canterbury and last two starts failed to place in FMB-75 and 3YB-70 class, but both runs had merit. Don’t simply dismiss.
5. Bengal Cat: Horrible run last start at Flemington. Similar draw today and will get back in the run…. hard to have on that first up effort.
6. Sempre Libera: Always backed in the markets and hardly ever wins (just 1 win from 6!). Can’t exactly dismiss a 2.8L 8th in 3F-GP1 coming into this. Does have to improve though.
7. Dagny: Couldn’t win a maiden her last two starts. Struggle to see it here even on best form.
8. Thames Court: The horse loves to do a lot wrong. Fourth up today hopefully they have the issues under control. Most importantly I think she is best ridden out the front by herself and that is exactly what she will get today. Will be leading and will be bloody hard to run down if she is at her best!
9. Silent Sedition: Will be out the back again today. Race last start was simply run too slowly. May get a similar issue today if not careful.
Comments: I’m very keen to be on Thames Court going forward and in this race. The horse has a lot of ability, just has been very green the last two starts. An easy lead and controlling the tempo, i’m happy with the E/W odds! Against three horses favoured in the market who between them haven’t won in their last three starts each.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Thames Court E/W
