Gear Changes: None
1. Spirit of Heaven: Consistently runs well but this prep she has been a step off winning. Best runs on softer tracks than we will be getting today at MV. D Oliver jumps off and barrier is tricky.
2. Letmedowngently: Very poor barrier today in a race with a lot of early speed. Will find it hard to get out the front from there. Ran very very well in much harder class last start over the 1500m and looks in for a very good prep. Weighted quite well all things considered but will need a gem of a ride.
3. Herstory: Just missed last start at Sandown and is up against it again today in this class. Certainly she is a good horse but in open grade she is certainly only just ‘fair’ with more progression required to win this from the wide gate.
4. Bet You She Rocks: Shown nothing all three runs this prep. Keep an eye on her but probably needs a few more runs to find best.
5. Bring a Ring: Landed the cash two runs back at big odds over at Rosehill. Ran well enough last start at Randwick but wasn’t suited by tempo at all.. got away with murder when she won previous run. Won’t get away with anything today.
6. Vincent’s Thirst: Won two in a row and 3 of last 4. Best runs have been on all surfaces to be honest so suited today no issues. Beat home Herstory last start and weighted 1kg better. Barrier suits.
7. Shadow of the Mist: Low weight and ridden back last start off a very strong tempo at Caulfield but found one too good. Weighted okay and should give a sight.
8. Zanteca: Never won first up or ran at track previously. Best runs last prep were over further but can run well at this distance.
9. Boogielicious: Consistent type having placed or won her last 8 races. Back to 1600m today an interesting move having run best over further recently. Back to a Good track today looks the key and from barrier 6 should get a nice spot during run if back to 1600m does the trick.
10. Magnus Slipper: Very disappointing run last start at Caulfield and just might not have enjoyed the very strong tempo as suggested on her records to date, she may simply just be a type that finds her best late off slow to medium tempos. Not expecting them to crawl today and barrier is horrible.
11. Princess Hussey: Had every chance last start to get past Vincent’s Thirst but didn’t. Better weighted today but i’m not convinced from barrier 14 that she is a key chance.
12. Spanish Love: Loves to run well without winning. Consistent type. Weighted okay but barrier and last start run suggest place at best.
13. Holy Cow: Looked a really good tyep two preps back but last two runs gone under as $1.60 and $2.60 favourite but thatwas on wet tracks. Barrier 4 and no excuse today you have yo believe back on a dryer surface. Last chance today for such a talented horse.
14. Oak Park Goblet: Maps very well today from inside barrier… 7 runs for 0 wins though on Good tracks a massive issue. Obviously has the ability to win but concern over track rating.
15. Mossbeat: Hit the line hard again last start but never got close to the win still 0.5L off it. Back in class and remains at 54kg and back to a firm track. Will have every chance ridden for luck.
Comments: Rough way to approach the second race of the day. Several key chances in this race and it’s very hard to select a top pick. Holy Cow will get every chance today back to a dryer track from a good barrier and gets the nod from Mossbeat.
Confidence 65%
Strategy: Holy Cow to win. Smaller bet Mossbeat.
