1. Girl In Flight: Hasn’t won in her last 12 races and hasn’t placed in 5 races. Clearly furthest back in class she has been in a long time… but she ran 12/12 last start and 13/14 the previous start. Top weight also.. Hard to trust.
2. Slate on Edge: 0.1L 2nd last start at Caulfield having every chance on speed setting a slow enough tempo and just didn’t get the win. Have to improve again today but doesn’t look to be anyone looking to take him on again.
3. Exodus: Ran poorly last start behind Secret Toy Bizness/Slate On Edge so very hard to back today off that run. We know on previous preps he clearly has ability, but obviously hasn’t come back well from that lameness issue last prep.
4. Secret Toy Bizness: Very strong win last start at Caulfield from the back off a slow tempo set out front. Expect a similar run today, but is 2kg worse off against Slate on Edge.
5. Totolo: Did a lot wrong over racing with the slow tempo being set and still almost got the win finishing just behind Secret Toy Bizness and Slate on Edge. I have the feeling they try and lead from the barrier today and the horse looks well suited.
6. Rock Forthe Ladies: BM-55 winner and BM-60 winner. Massive step up here though as he couldn’t even win a maiden.
7. Manor Lady: Couldn’t place in BM-55/R-58 races the last two preps.
Comments: This is a pretty low grade race today, but i’m shocked to see Rock Forthe Ladies put up as favourite. The horse couldn’t win maiden grade races yet is being backed off BM55 and BM-60 wins in the country beating bottom feeders? Yes, this is a Moody horse, but please? This is the lay of the day for mine. Totolo gets the nod from Slate on Edge.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Lay (Bet AGAINST) Rock ForThe Ladies to win. If you don’t have this option, back Totolo & Slate on Edge to win.
