Gear Changes: Danuki – Visor First Time & Blinkers Off, Well Sighted – Lugging Bit, Wind Force – Winkers Off & Blinkers On, Truculent – Cross Over Noseband First Time.
1. Mawahibb: Measured up last prep with a huge win to finish last prep in 2YO class with a 4 length win at course and distance. First up run was very respectable when 3rd to Bassett at Caulfield and we can expect a bold run today. Hard to beat on first up run.
2. Danuki: Ran well first up then very disappointing in harder company last start. Back in class but still very strong race today, expect to be pushing forward from barrier.
3. Keen Array: Pushed forward last start at Caulfield with Mawahibb on his outside and was tested all he way costing him any chance. Well weighted against this lot and matches up well with Mawahibb here also.
5. Well Sighted: Did everything right last start at Caulfield when half a length off Keen Array and Mawahibb. Can improve up to 1200m today and won a 2YO race at this distance last prep. Dream barrier to get a sit off the leaders if good enough.
6. Prestwick: Two good runs last prep with a win and strong run 2nd to Kinglike. Has the ability to run well but barrier certainly an issue.
7. Trench Fighter: Only a fair maiden win second up. Others favoured on form.
8. Ability: Showed that he is a good horse but wasn’t good enough to match the best last start and i’d struggle to back him today on that run.
9. Wind Force: Good maiden win at Pakenham last prep but was very disappointing not getting the win first up in easier than this.
10. Truculent: Nice enough maiden win first up this prep in much easier class from out the back. Will go back from barrier and be ridden for luck. Win wouldn’t shock.
11. Dane Thunder: Heavy track maiden win first up. Was okay price moneyb ut obviously has to prove itself today.
Comments: This race is simple. Mawahibb and Keen Array are clearly the best horses. The only way you could approach this is to bet on both horses at around $1.70 odds for either horse to win. Hayes suggested they won’t get involved in a speed battle today either which is positive.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Back Keen Array for 1.25 units to win. Back Mawahibb for 1 unit to win.
