Moonee Valley Race 1 – 1200m – Quest Moonee Valley Plate 3YF-SWP
Gear Changes: Strykum – Blinkers First Time, Effortless Miss – Winkers Off Fire Time – Blinkers On First Time, Young Amazon – Tongue Tie First Time.
1. Strykum: Talented type who beat Thurlow last prep over the 1050m at Morphetville losing a plate but failed to measure up next start in 2YO-G3 company. Fairly weighted today and if comes back as well as she did last prep, expect a bold showing from barrier on speed.
2. Sebring Sally: Will be closer to the back today than the speed. Only wint o date was on heavy but wasn’t poor at all only run last prep when blocked for a run 5th at course over 1000m.
3. Just One Moment: Two starts to date with a nice maiden win followed by a close 2nd on heavy at the bool last start. Much harder here today but should measure up.
4. Grey Street: Only one win to date from 1 run on a heavy track at Seymour. All you can do is perform on the course you are given and handled it like a boss. Tricky barrier.
5. Catch Fire: Missed a win first up in maiden class when blocked for runs. Looks to have the ability but outside barrier will be hard to get the perfect run that’s needed.
6. Effortless Miss: Only one run to date and failed hard. Hard to be excited to back her.
7. Sistine Spirit: One run to date and only managed 3rd in a maiden. Have to improve to place here.
8. Young Amazon: Couldn’t place two runs to date in maidens. Struggle to suggest.
9. Alderney: Double figure odds after an only average trial. Could be the surprise package from the race.
Comments: Strykum maps perfectly to be on the speed today or to take a trail just off the leaders from the inside barrier. Has the ratings in the past and if reproduces the last prep first up run, will be mighty hard to get past.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Strykum to win.
