1. Petite’s Reward: 2YO winner over 900m in first prep after a nice 3rd first up at course and distance. First run this prep won well enough at Bendigo in FMB-70 grade. Clearly has to improve on that again but I can certainly see her being a top chance here.
2. Viceroy: Very strong maiden win first up before being well beaten 2nd up by a nice type in Badawiya. Back to his winning ways last start in easier company though. Has the scope.
3. Our Vidia: I was impressed by her first up win last prep at course and distance from the back beating some good types… but her form since has been questionable at best.
4. Stream Ahead: 2L off Petits Filous two runs back at course and distance. Ignore last start run when pulled up poorly and may just have not got the 1200m. Back to 1000m and back to this track, she has the form to be the top chance in this race today. If she jumps well, it will be very hard to run her down. She can still win even if she misses the start as well!
5. Trench Fighter: Maiden only winner this prep with runs since being very average. One i’m going to suggest we take on.
6. Miss Idyllic: I have had a lot of time for this horse in the past but she just keeps taking our money. She’s better than the last two runs, but I just can’t trust her enough to jump in today with huge confidence.
7. Billabong Babe: Failed to measure up in the strong 3YO maidens so went for a cheap kill in open maiden grade. Has to obviously improve on that.
Comments: I’m very keen on Stream Ahead today. It’s hard to pass up a horse that ran Petits Filous to 2L after being slowly away at course and distance when you consider the horses better suited to being closer to the speed in the run. I just can’t bet here though without saver betting Miss Idyllic.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Back Stream Ahead to win. Saver bet Miss Idyllic.