Welcome to The Profits form for Caulfield Guineas Day on 11 October 2014. The big day is upon us. This is the time of year we aim to shine and we have a very good record in recent years in Caulfield Guineas. Long John was a sensational win for us last year and we hope to continue that today with a horse we have been on since it’s HUGE first up win at MV in Rich Enuff. Overall there is a very solid card on offer and a few races will shape the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate while there are one or two to watch heading to a Melbourne Cup. I’ll be heading down to the track from around Race 3 onwards so will keep you all updated on Twitter including photos from the stables out the back and the yard. As always, I hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting!

Melbourne Best Bet

Caulfield Race 9 Rich Enuff
Went around at $5 last start as a Best Bet for us and smashed them. Wasn’t even ridden out the final 100m and still got in by 2.5L to Looks Like The Cat who is 2.5kg worse off today against Rich Enuff. Shooting to Win on times may be a small threat in the race, but a lot of question marks about the horse for mine coming off a DREAM run up there where the favourite had no luck. The price on offer today for Rich Enuff is STILL value and the specials around with money back 2nd/3rd at Sportsbet and the horse being paid out as a WINNER at Luxbet for running 2nd, you just simply can’t bet around the horse with these deals.

Melbourne Next Bet

Caulfield Race 8 Go Indy Go
Don’t just blindly bet Go Indy Go today on our tip, go back and watch the replay of the horse. Watch how far off them she is ridden the whole race, watch her let go at the 350m around the turn then lose all momentum going into the straight and then another 50m later in the straight. Now think, what would have happened if she was allowed to build momentum around that turn and got a clear run at them? She smashes them. Even with those blocks, her final 400m was sensational and she is the one to beat today. Other punters and bookies agree as she has been smashed $17 back into $5 after the run.

Melbourne Other Bet

Caulfield Race 2 Earthquake
Top quality horse in a race lacking in quality. Been going up against arguably the best 3YOs going around at the moment up in Sydney and can’t be dismissed on these runs. Good track, back to 1200m and odds on, very happy with all of these factors and the price we are getting. Has to be bet here.

Melbourne Best Value

Caulfield Race 5 Albonetti
Eye-catcher and run of the day last start. Has to win this to make the Caulfield Cup and the trainer believes the horse is up to it. Most importantly, maps to have a very solid tempo on out front which will give Albonetti every chance today. Price is value even with the concussion plates on which probably takes a length off the horse here.

Melbourne Next Best Value

Caulfield Race 6 Kirramosa
Oaks winner from last year, she has had three runs in this prep and one of those three was an eye-catcher, the first up run over 1200m. Has been going around at unsuitable distances all prep trying to get her fit and she has now been stepped up into a distance she is suited by. Shocked by the price on offer today for an Oaks winner who has been very solid all runs this prep.

Caulfield Quaddie

Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 3, 6
Quaddie Leg Three: 3
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 7

Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au

Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.

Promotions

Sportsbet
Place a win bet on the Caulfield Guineas or Thousand Guineas (can bet both) and if you horse runes 2nd or 3rd, money back up to a maximum of $100 per race.

Luxbet
Run second in the Caulfield Guineas? Get paid out as the winner anyway #BOOM! (Max payout up to $500 – first single bet only applies)

Ladbrokes
Caulfield Race 3 – If your first fixed odds bet in race loses, money straight back into your account ($20 max)
Best Tote or SP + 20% on Caulfield Guineas.

Betfair- Power Picks

#1
If your horse runs second to Rich Enuff, get your money back. Max bet $50
OR
Back Rich Enuff and receive a 20% bonus if he wins. Max bet $50.

#2
Miss out on only the first leg of the Caulfield quaddie and get your money back. Max bet $50.
OR
Miss out on only the last leg of the Caulfield quaddie and get your money back. Max bet $50.

#3
50% boost on trifecta winnings in the Spring Champion Stakes. Max boost $200.
OR
50% boost on trifecta winnings in the Caulfield Stakes. Max boost $200.

#4
If your horse runs second in the Thousand Guineas, get your money back. Max Bet $50.
OR
Back any horse and receive a 10% bonus if it wins. Max bet $50.

TAB
Run 2nd or 3rd on any Group 1 at Caulfield and get your bet back (maximum $50) as a bonus bet. *Need to have an account and I believe this VIC only*

Sportingbet
Run 2nd in Caulfield Guineas? Money back as bonus bet. Maximum bet $100

Centrebet
Run 2nd to favourite in any Group 1 this Saturday, money back (Max $100) as a bonus bet

BetEasy
Back the winner in the Caulfield Guineas? Get a matched bonus bet up to $50
$50 Free Bet, free!, on the Caulfield Cup (if signing up please, click through our banner top-right, thank you)

Races

Caulfield Race 1
I’m not even going to attempt to cover this race.
There is too much quality on the card today to waste my time even talking about this race full of first starts with no trial form.
Keep your money in your pockets please. RESIST THE TEMPTATION.

Caulfield Race 2
Earthquake: Was back to her best last start at Randwick but First Seal still beat her home. Step back to 1200m is required today and is what we see. Two runs, two wins at course and distance. Hard to beat.
Aimee: Very very very poor last start at Caulfield and Lucky Tom was horrible as well on the run down here. Find it very hard to support her here.
London Lolly: Two runs this prep she has shown nothing like what we saw last prep which included a Group 3 win over Go Indy Go. Can’t have.
Silversands: Eye-catcher in the Eloping race at MV hitting the line very strongly. Has ability we all know that, probably too far back to chase down this class?
Tawteen: Good horse but was proven to not be top quality last start at Moonee Valley by eloping. Two back run was suited by pace and also a small bias. Hard to see her beating Earthquake.
Ygritte: Best runs clearly shown on wet ground and won’t get that today. Hard to back based on runs on good or dead this prep.
Loved Up: Not up to the class last start. Hard to see reversal of form on the run or previous form lines.
More Radiant: The most talented horse in the race outside of Earthquake and comes into this well at the weights. Just ignore she went around first up and rate on previous runs last prep. Have to respect from barrier.
Cristalina Lago: Ran only fairly last start for mine. Has to find 2 lengths today to be a winner. Place chance.

Comments: Earthquake clear top pick. More Radiant the only other horse I could put money on if asked to pick outside of EQ.
Confidence: 80%
Strategy: Earthquake to win.

Caulfield Race 3
Alma’s Fury: Ran home well enough in the Group 1 last start and back in class today. Has the ability to win this but certainly has to find more today.
Sistine Demon: Last start was too poor to accept as real. Just write that ride off and base on how good we know he is, 6L Group 3 winner at course and distance. Have to respect. D Oliver rides for a reason.
Eximius: Good horse but found his class level last few runs. Beaten well by a 10YO last start at MV. Can run a place.
Tango’s Daughter: Showed nothing first up but just ignore it. Won 2 from 3 second up and won at distance 2 from 3. Big step up in class but did beat Politeness and Floria last prep.
Club Command: At his best he measures up here, but we haven’t seen that the last few runs and he is crying out for a dead or worse track. Never runs a bad race at Caulfield with 5 runs and never missing a place. Meets Hosting 6kg better off today.
Turquoise King: Two decent runs in a row to start prep but then found his level last start behind Target in Sight… this is solid form though. Weighted very well today in this class.
Loot ‘N’ Run: Never won on Good and wants sting out. Not for me.
Hosting: Surprise winner first up. Very good run. Poorly weighted today though. Has to find lengths for mine. Bad barrier.
Cantonese: Best shown over MUCH further. Never won first up or at distance.
Taddei Tondo: Going well enough but beaten by AL ANEED??? last start. Need improvement.
Beliveau: Needs further than this and less classy.

Comments: Turquoise King is the clear standout in the form. Couldn’t bet around the horse.
Confidence: 70%
Strategy: Turquoise King to win.

Caulfield Race 4
Sessions: Every chance first up and was poor. Back to 1000m a concern if you ask me but has run well in the past over it. Top weight.. Needs massive improvement.
Iconic: Big win first up and then flat as a tack second up from the back. Hard to see him beating this classy field at the weights.
Not Listenin’ToMe: We seem to forget how good this bloke really is. Dominating first up win last prep and then a very good second to Appearance who was at the top of the sprinting class in Sydney. The ONLY question is whether 1000m is too sharp first up. I don’t think it will be.
Overreach: Smashed them at her best as a 2YO. Been flying in trials. Haven’t seen her in a LONG time is a massive concern though, 1 year 6 months.
Platelet: Proven Group class and even WFA horse over the sprint distances. Track specialist but first up isn’t exactly her best. Win wouldn’t shock.
Gregers: 1400m back to 1000m is a very strange training move. Clearly proven as a sprinter but this class? No thanks.
Rubick: Flying right now is the word from all the trials and smashed the clock first up last prep. Barrier one should mean she gets the front and will be very hard to run down.

Comments: I have to stick with the horse who is proven going this way today and that is Not Listenin’ToMe. First up last prep proved he loves the track and he will get the charmed run just off Overreach and Rubick and be there to strike when required.
Confidence: 65%
Strategy: Not Listenin’ToMe to win.

Caulfield Race 5
Protectionist: Rock solid form lines. Won three of last five races and the other two runs for close 2nds in Open and Group company. Shown best on wetter tracks is the massive concern today and aimed at 3200m… dropping back from 3000m.
Sangster: ‘Should have won last start’ – actually no he shouldn’t, don’t listen to anyone who says so. Was ridden for LUCK and didn’t get luck. That is what happens when you ride for luck. Step up to 2400m suited for this guy who was a very good run last start all things considered. Pace won’t be anywhere near as solid and back to a dryer track are the concerns.
Bonfire: Every chance last start at Caulfield and simply not good enough. At the weights happy to bet around this bloke.
Lord Van Percy: LVP we shall call him. Showed his best over further (2800+). Much harder race than he was running in over in the UK but should be fit. Likes a good surface which is a positive. Have to respect from barrier.
Let’s Make Adeal: Not good enough to place here based on runs this prep.
Unchain My Heart: Flying at home according to the stable but this is a huge step up on questionable form lines.
Masked Marvel: Shown absolutely nothing this prep. Hard to suggest that changes together either. Avoid.
Ancient King: Just not going good enough this prep compared to last. Up to distance that will suit but best runs have been on slower tracks than this.
Big Memory: Had every chance last start at MV and CLEARLY wasn’t fit enough. Weighted ok here today but jockey change not helpful for mine either. Back to Good track may help.
Signoff: Declared a moral by Glen Boss today. So it won’t win. Too far back last start at MV which was a very stupid ride. Hasn’t measured up in this class ever before and big wins last prep over this distance were in BM-84/90 class so you can’t stack that form up. Very happy at the prices to take him on.
Renew: Struggle to suggest this bloke is going well enough to measure up here. Been 5L+ off them this prep and last prep also.
Albonetti: Hasn’t been missed like last week in the betting. Wouldn’t have won last week with the sectionals Lucia Valentina put down and probably wouldn’t have placed with the pace ran out front and the finishing position of leaders… so we are lucky in that respect that she didn’t get a run. Very keen today even though Concussion plates go on. Expecting the course to dry up nicely with lots of sun so best to put them on. Had a faster final 400m in the 2000m Naturalism than Silent Achiever over 1600m in the Underwood. Albonetti ran a 22.87 final 400m.. the next best was 23.27 from Entirely Platnium in the Underwood. Albonetti final 800m 45.16. Next best in race was 45.76 (Our Voodoo Prince who finished 8th) & 45.92 Entirely Platinum 2nd.. The Offer 45.28 Happy Trails 45.29 in the 1600m race final 800m. Albonetti’s was better over the 2000m! All the stats suggest she can win and Bonfire + Renew expected to put a solid tempo on, very keen to be on again today and will go to Caulfield Cup if wins this.
Waltzing to Win: Every chance last start in this class but didn’t measure up, not really a surprise. Still ran a decent 4th but not this class.

Comments: Protectionist could bolt in here, but with the firm ground, the fact the horse won a 4 horse Group 2 last start, i’m not sure the form is franked enough + having to travel all this race without a solid run in-between. Albonetti is the stand out for mine in a race that will be run at a VERY solid tempo. She will have her chance and she will be flying faster than a 747 late down the outside, hopefully in time!
Confidence: 75%
Strategy: Albonetti E/W

Caulfield Race 6
Sacred Falls: Beast of a run last start at Randwick. Much improved run than the previous run on Heavy over the 1600m. Sectionals were very sound but also was ridden for a bit of luck to get the splits and that helps. Hard to ignore this class today but from barrier 12 may struggle to get a really good spot in running.
Side Glance: This guy always tries. His first up run in Aus last prep was horrible but then went on to win at Flemington beating Dear Demi. Hasn’t won since which is of course and issue, but has run 3rd in Group 1 and WFA-G1 at this distance over in the US. Are ours better? I think so.
Fawkner: Cox Plate favourite for a reason. Ran Dissident to 0.1L over 1600m last start and he is a better 2000m horse than Dissident, i’m sure of that. Barrier 4 today, maps to get a charmed run and passage. A top hope.
Happy Trails: Given a very average ride by Rodd last start and he gets kicked off. Oliver on hard to disagree with and expect to see Happy Trails OFF the fence and about 5-6 pairs back. Will be hitting the line very hard. Every chance today but probably needs the run if you ask me and may be missing some fitness due to not real run last start.
Foreteller: Ridden further forward last start at Caulfield and got all the splits to win. Not sure they can do that today from the barrier and will settle back. Others look better to me today from mapping.
Sertorius: ‘Eye-catcher’ last two runs but never a chance. Hard to have again today for mine. Goes well but disappoints.
Crackerjack King: Led and was allowed to run the way he wanted out the front last start. Won’t get that today with Side Glance i’d imagine. Very good horse but probably doesn’t find the line as well as that last start without a run in-between? Should still look a good chance at the 300m.
Massiyn: Just not going well at all. No way I can have the horse in this class!
Criterion: Ran 2nd to Junoob last start which was a decent run but never threatened. Is Junoob better than all of these? On my ratings, not even close. Needs the run today.
Dissident: 1600m down to 1400m up to 2000m is a MASSIVE concern today. This will tell us if Dissident has to be considered a Cox Plate chance. We have been on him the last two runs, today we jump off and take him on.
Dear Demi: Hard to fault her. This is a massive step up in class but she measures up to this off last start. Barrier 1 and will be hitting the line late, probably on the rail.
Kirramosa: The value in the race today. Just ignore the last two runs she had. Sargent is trying to get some fitness into her and believes it is go time heading onwards to a Melb Cup. Oaks winner. Will be one of those coming home late having a go at the win.

Comments: Very hard to oppose Fawkner here today in a race that is certainly open… but Fawkner, with the correct ride, on this track, should be beating them home. Kirramosa is huge value based on her best runs which started to come 4th up last prep as well.
Confidence: 75%
Strategy: Fawkner to win. Smaller bet Kirramosa.

Caulfield Race 7
Guest of Honour: I’m stunned by the price being bet today. I know this is a competitive race, but this horse was flying the last two runs over in the UK winning a nice Listed race and then beating Mull of Killough in a Group 2. Oliver takes the ride for a reason and maps nicely mid-field. Big chance.
Speediness: Didn’t let down last start over the 1400m but was a very good run over 1200m previous race. Not sure the pace will be solid enough to find his best in this class off weights.
Commanding Jewel: Back to a Good track today which looks the key on form for mine. Also feel she will appreciate a stronger tempo today and a longer straight as she hasn’t appreciated the corner style of racing at MV on either of her previous runs. Has to be respected but giving weight to others who have been competing in harder races is an issue from barrier. Still maps well.. to be ridden with a sit not out front please.
Trust in a Gust: Had the race lost last start at Caulfield but thanks to Dissident throwing it away, got the win. Was still a massive run and win all things considered. Up 4.5kg today and giving 2kg to a few other horses who ran well in that race. Won’t have such a charmed run today from barrier and may struggle to get a good position. Good track suits and hard to dismiss chances here.
Atlante: Race was lost at the start last start. Beat Trust in a Gust home previous run. Meets much better at weights today and up to preferred distances. Heavily under-rated in the markets and requires a Good track to find best.
Bull Point: Was the run of the race last start for mine at Caulfield. 2kg better off against Trust in a Gust and barrier 2 instead of 10 means will sit further forward. Flying and the yard are bullish on the horses chances. Very good horse.
Arabian Gold: Heading towards a Cox Plate start. Shot through on the rail a little lucky last start at Rosehill and beat Catkins which was a huge win. Will have to fly around them from the outside barrier today will sit around midfield. Can win at distance but others preferred for mine.
Solicit: I really like this horse. I think she is a cox plate chance and is being under-valued in all the markets, but she has been well backed here. Is 1600m her best? No. Is this a tough race, yep. I expect they may try and put the heat on out the front finally today with the fitness now in her legs.. but never won at distance or at track a concern. Barrier means do alot of work early also.
Recite: Last start run over in NZ was okay but this is another level of class. Didn’t measure up over here last prep in only run… but did get thumps so hard to rate it. Needs to be MUCH better than form suggests.
Akavoroun: Continues to run well this prep without going anywhere near winning. Has to improve again.. looking for wetter track for mine.
Late Charge: Decent win two back but found his grade here and last start. Can run well but won’t be winning.
Rhythm To Spare: Can’t see him going close in this grade. Not good enough on Good.
Escado: Last two runs have been very solid running home nicely but beaten both times by a big enough distance. Better at Flemington and better over further.
Desert Jeuney: Another eye-catching run and not close to winning last start. Can’t have.
Tristram’s Sun: Good horse, not good enough for this company at the weights.

Comments: Probably the most open race of the day. I could bet 6-7 horses here and be happy with the price I was getting.
Confidence: 60%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8
Strategy: Atlante to win. Smaller bets on Bull Point and Guest of Honour.

Caulfield Race 8
Bring Me The Maid: Not going anywhere near as well as last prep. Best seen on Heavy. Not here.
Go Indy Go: This has been my Thousand Guineas horse since the markets opened and I took the $6.50 unders and didn’t reload up when $18 was on offer before that run last start. Been well backed into second favourite now. Take the time and go watch the last start run and also check out the sectionals. Ridden 1L dead last off them and not let go until about the 350m mark. Let her go at the 500m mark, don’t get blocked and lose momentum and I shit you not, she wins by 2 lengths. She is crying out for the distance today and Good track is no concern. Top pick and a massive price on ratings.
Afleet Esprit: Dream run last start and continues to get very good runs every time she takes the course. Barrier 1 will ensure that again today, but has to improve onwards again to be winning. Certainly one of the key chances.
Sabatini: Hype horse after big win three back but hasn’t shown enough to impress me the last few runs to suggest she can measure up to this class and beat them all home.
Amicus: Good horse. Positioned forward last start at Caulfield 3-wide most the trip but the pace wasn’t killer so I think it wasn’t a disadvantage. Will improve onwards again but has to find more today as well and barrier hurts.
Lumosty: Ran well tow back down the Flemington straight behind Afleet Espirit then was sent to win a maiden at Sale by 9L on a slow track over 1420. Not hard to beat that bunch. We saw Cluster do similar and measure up in Group company, but should Lumosty be favourite here? Not for mine. Massive unders being bet based on racing pattern and everything i’ve seen so far. Saver at best.
Traveston Girl: Every chance last start at Caulfield but not good enough. Can’t have based on that form.
Tahni Dancer: Flashed home behind Eloping last start at MV and is the interesting runner of the race. Has the ability to improve but is she this class? Not sold just yet sorry.
Pickin’ Time: Boss onboard, every chance last three runs and not good enough. Not for mine. Non-winner. Still a maiden.
High Above: Couldn’t touch with a forty foot pole. Maiden winner who on times had every chance last start at Newcastle. Wants it wet.
Go Jennio: Couldn’t win a maiden last three starts. Disgrace that we allow this horse to get a run.

Comments: My form points to Go Indy Go as the best bet in this race and a very good price. I have to saver Lumosty based on potential and volume of support.
Confidence: 85%
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 3, 6
Strategy: Go Indy Go to win. Saver Lumosty

Caulfield Race 9
Almalad: Only a fair win last start at MV. Didn’t beat much apart from Moonovermanhattan who probably should have beat him home based on the runs they both had. Barrier hurts significantly for going forward or getting a solid spot.
Rich Enuff: Sensational win three back at Moonee Valley. Progressed onwards to a even bigger win next start at Flemington off a massively fast tempo and solid finish. Had the race shot to pieces at the 100m last start at Caulfield and wasn’t exactly ridden out. Meets Looks Like The Cat 2.5kg better off today as well which most don’t understand. Rates to win and is huge overs and the bet of the day. This is a very good horse.
Shooting to Win: Missed the start last start (did first up also) which is a concern for today. Was able to bussle up and got luck with the spot in running. Then when the odds on favourite was pushed 3-wide off what was already a very fast tempo, he was able to get on the back of the 2nd fav who was leading somehow. Dream run to this point and it only improved further. They went around the turn and the front 3 all went wide… he was gifted a 2-3 metre lane to come down the rails which was already the place to be on the day and sprinted away from them. Tough horse, but had EVERYTHING go right after missing the start. Much harder race today also but the final 600m 34.32 is hard to ignore.
Zululand: Yard are happy with the way he is going but the form lines are hard to justify backing here today. Not for mine.
Chivalry: Showed nothing last start at MV over the distance… is his best over shorter? Not sold on that. Will be a very long way back again today and looks hard to make up this amount of ground in this class of race.
Looks Like The Cat: Poorly weighted against Rich Enuff today, but has the most upside of the lot of these. Put in nice late sectionals last start but was safely held. Can’t see the cat beating home Rich Enuff at these weights.
Kumaon: Ran home well enough last start at MV to suggest he is back to previous form…. but shown best on wetter tracks ratings since than this. Barrier helps if they want to position more forward.
Merion: Been a massive drifter in the markets as we haven’t seen him running around since the brave win at Flemington in fast time. Clearly is overs in this race and maps very well from barrier 4. Big chance if improved onwards again?
Moonoverthemanhattan: Solid formlines and stuck on very well off a hot tempo two back at Flemington.. but I reckon finds his best on a shorter straight and probably even with a little bit of sting out. Should have won last start. I’m not convinced he will be winning this today based on mapping and the quality in this race, but watch for him going up in distance and even running again next week. Will run well.
Stingray: Beaten a long way last start but run had merit. Barrier is horrible for his chances today though as I’d want to see them run him closer to the speed. Hard to suggest he wins this.
Lucky Tom: Showed nothing last start at Caulfield. Expected to sit closer today but on form and even Aimee’s form not stacking up down here, have to take on.
Zebulon: This horse is simple. It needs to be balanced up and be given a good amount of space to stretch out for the run. Barrier 1 is HORRIBLE for a horse of this type and watch for next run at Flemington.
Wandjina: Will be ridden much closer to the pace today and screaming out for 1600m. Sectionals last two runs were solid and have to be respected.

Comments: Rich Enuff is the horse here who can and should be winning. I have a bet on Merion already, but wouldn’t be turned off by the price today if I didn’t, think the horse is overs.
Confidence: 90%
Quaddie Leg Three: 3
Strategy: Rich Enuff to win.

Caulfield Race 10
Girl Guide: Won the race last start from the 600m to the 200m. Better ridden out the front IMO and maps to get clear front running. 2kg penalty today is the only thing that could see her get run down.
Shamal Wind: Barrier 7 today so expect her to have every chance. Maps to get a nice position in running and weighted to run down Girl Guide today. been well backed.
Brilliant Bisc: Every chance last start at Morphetville but not good enough behind some average horses. Can’t see the improvement here.
Gig: All this prep has been putting in sharp late sectionals but not looking a winning chance any of the runs. Back in class again today but back in distance the query. Have to respect.
Flash of Doubt: Lucky win two back it seems. Last start was too hard and this is even harder with the apprentice jockey on-board today.
Danestroem: Very disappointing all three runs this prep. I just can’t have her on form.
Griante: Ridden upside down last start and stewards queried run. Off the track the whole race ridden 3-wide and 4-5 wide for the final 600m. Put in the fastest 400-200m sectional but at the 1100m didn’t have the closing power (still put in a very solid final sectional). Not sure those runners were of THIS class though is the issue.
Fare Well: Huge price first up in much easier company and went close. Last start blocked for runs and showed nothing in harder class. Similar class today and Oliver goes on. Have to respect her consistency.
Coronation Shallan: Showed nothing last prep. Was much better previous prep. Goes well enough first up… but take on trust.
Double Dee: had every chance first up at Mornington and got beat by a battler in Flash of Doubt. Not in this class for mine this prep just yet.
Soosa Rama: Every chance second up at Bendigo in a solidly run race and just missed. It’s Poets Day not a bad form line to be honest, but this is a step above her.
Chiquada: Had no right on form to hit the lead last start and just miss at course in easier class. Up in weights today makes it very hard and I couldn’t have.

Comments: Sectional times point to a two horse race in Girl Guide and Shamal Wind but my heart and watching the replay suggests we just have to give Griante a solid chance.
Confidence: 80%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 7
Strategy: Shamal Wind to win

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