Welcome to The Profits form guide for Flemington on 27 June 2015. Back to the home of racing in Victoria today and no rain in sight should see the Good 4 track probably go up to a Good 3 throughout the day with sunshine expected. Last week wasn’t our best going around and i’m convinced our Best Bet should have bolted in if given the correct ride. Those occur sadly and that is racing after all. Back at it again today obviously after a mid-week fill up on the Duke at Sale. I’m actually quite confident we are going to land a nice price and all 4 legs of the Quaddie today also… the 4th leg looks the hardest! Good luck and happy punting.
Melbourne Best Bet
Flemington Race 1 – El Greco to win
Melbourne Next Best Bet
Flemington Race 5 Hard Romp
Melbourne Best Value
Flemington Race 9 – Nautical Each-Way
Melbourne Quaddie
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 7, 10
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 4, 6, 8, 9, 12
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 8, 11, 16, 17
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 4, 5, 11, 12, 13
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Flemington Race 1
El Greco: Our best bet of the day last start and won well with a leg in the air. Equally weighted today and no reason why he can’t blitz this field either. If finds one good enough to compete with, expect him to knuckle down for the task.
Oxbow: Won well enough first up on the synthetic at Geelong. Much harder back onto turf here.
Automatic Choice: Well beaten by El Greco last start. Hard to see a place based on that run but two back run can’t be ignored fully.
Him Name Jim: Got the maiden first up this prep over much shorter distance. Has shown ability but hard to see measuring up here.
Brass In My Pocket: Every chance first up at Moe when beaten 0.2L by Irada. Does meet better at weights but don’t rate that run much.
Cruachan: Beaten as favourite first up in easier class. Hard to see especially from barrier today.
Alamonteel: Well beaten last start by El Greco. Hard to see her turning that around today even 2kg better off having been well beaten.
Irada: Looks to have huge talent. Missed the start big time 4L and galloped in in run yet still able to run a win on a soft 1200m track.. Big step up in class obviously but looks well suited to measure up if good enough. Barrier 16 hurts.
Parmalove: Tends to miss the jump and from barrier 18 today looks a massive negative. Take her on.
Speedwagon: Good win first up in much easier company. Big step up today but did certainly win with enough class to suggest she can run well if good enough off a decent weight.
Bengal Cat: Very strong run last start at Moonee Valley and looks suited by step up to 1400m. Prefer on wetter based on first up run this prep.
Triple Effort: Ran home well enough in a maiden first up this prep. Can run nicely enough today from the back but certainly has to improve alot.
Ayers Rock:Two runs last prep when ran last and 3rd last in both runs. Doesn’t look a top type here.
Ma Raison: Market only guide and there seems to be little confidence at this stage.
Ready to Dream: Only run too date out the back at MV and never really ran on with it. Looks one that needs time.
Comments: I see no reason to jump off El Greco today especially at the price from this barrier. Looks a progressive group winner.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: El Greco to win.
Flemington Race 2
Face Forward: Ran it slower last start out the front and while she just missed, it’s important to note how much slower the run was than the strong win previous to that over the 1200m. Back to 1100m looks ideal today and 60kg no issues.
Rough Justice: Unlucky 2nd last start at course over 1000m when just missed behind Husson Eagle. Lost a plate as well that run. Up 5kg today. Goes well down the straight but has been beaten 0.2L 0.3L and 0.1L down the straight!
Reigning Meteor: Decent horse but well beaten last start and hard to be confident at all on him measuring up against this lot today after last start.
Illustrious Lad: Simply too far back last start behind Husson Eagle and finished off nicely. Slightly better weighted today than Rough Justice and surely won’t be that far back today if ridden correctly. Rates very well.
Stingray: Well backed after gear change (nuts off) last start but found nothing. Very costly horse to punters with no win in the past 11 runs. Hard to suggest.
Star Stealer: Gets 2kg on Rough Justice today for a 0.1L defeat when facing the breeze and running very well over the 1000m. Was first up as well so should be even fitter second up today. Rates very well.
Cashed: Almost have to ignore last start when he won the race of the stands side but they were well beaten by the far side group. Up 4kg today looks well enough weighted here… could be value.
Lirabird: Looks to be weighted quite well today on last start run down the straight here when 0.8L 2nd to Faction. Down 3.5kg today and have to consider a chance on last start.
Lord Esprit: First up today. Only won a maiden last prep. Hard to suggest against this lot just yet.
Viking Ransom: Did a lot wrong last start at Sale before going for a break. Did win his maiden well enough but back to this distance first up in this class looks a little hard to start with.
Iron Jake: Decent run first up in maiden class beaten by a handy one in Shakespearean Lass when green… then won well at Bendigo the next start. Has ability.
Orange River: Average at best maiden win. Not sure she measures up to this class just yet.
Dezannam: Well beaten last start. Hard to have on that run.
Comments: Face Forward, Rough Justice, Illustrious Lad, Star Stealer and Cashed look the key chances while Lirabird is also in the mix. The three that stand out to me are Star Stealer off that last run, looks weighted to win off a very good run and now 2nd up should be fitter. Face Forward is consistent and even with the top weight looks well rated considering last three runs down the straight were 3L win, 1L win and 0.2L 2nd. Cashed is the value and really x factor unknown horse with D Oliver going on.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Three horse play. 2 units Star Stealer to win, Face Forward 1 unit to win and Cashed 0.5 units to win.
Flemington Race 3
By The Grace: Won nicely two back at Morphetville after a good enough run at Caulfield the race before. Top rating run this prep obviously two back on wetter track. 60kg today back in class… has to improve but back to 1600m ideal.
Diaghan: French import. Found nothing first up over 1200m, not really a surprise. Up to 1600m today. Won a 1400m maiden in France then ran 2nd in 2YO-G3 over 1800m before 4th in 3Y-Gp3 class. Had 8 months between runs and best runs clearly on wet tracks. Nolen keeps the ride today instead of jumping onto Noela’s Choice a key item to note today???
Refulgent: Close by missed running 2nd last start to Clarivaux in harder class. 52.5kg up to 60kg today and is in the grade he can win at. Going well enough this prep to be in the finish.
Relentless: Blocked for runs and no chance last start at MV. Ran home okay enough first up at Flemington. Back in class here, can run a nice race.
Burning Front: Every chance last start well beaten by Maj Duke. Weighted just okay here but others do look slightly better weighted at ratings. Consistent type and never runs poorly.
Abbasso: Down from Sydney, Waller has success doing this recently…. but is he a top grader? Five runs this prep and best result 3rd… up to 1600m certainly suits him today but 14 runs for 1 win on a good surface is a concern and wasn’t won in two preps.
Noela’s Choice: Bolted in last start at MV on a wet track. Back to dryer today brings her back to them from a wide barrier and weighted harshly i feel. Obviously a chance but paying $8s not $3s for a reason today. If wetter would have been close to favourite.
Airalign: Two wins from 5 starts this prep. Hardest test today and hasn’t measured up to this grade or city grade in the past. Testing material stuff.
Churchill’s Wit: Ran well enough with no excuses first up over 1300m. Up to 1600m obviously suits based on previous preps. Goes well on this track condition and weighted okay enough. A chance.
It’s One: Got the win last start with the big weight at Pakenham. 6 runs for 0 places at course. 8 runs for 0 wins 1 place in this class. Barrier 17 makes it very difficult today.
Seattleite: Not going well enough this prep based on last four runs. Others preferred.
Tilla Bell Rings: Two runs in this prep, first up was okay and last start too slow away and out the back. Lots of troubles this horse and barrier 15 doesn’t help her. Best still is a little short of this.
Lilly Dazzler: Well beaten last start and issue with jumping well. Best even at weights will get her a place, but struggle to suggest the win.
Red Spyder: Consistent type. Ran nice 1L 8th to Bon Rocket last start. Up in distance up in class, has to make a big jump but last four runs not been more than 1.5L off a win.
Northern Jet: Decent enough win in BM-64 grade two back but then well beaten last start in easier grade. Doesn’t win out of turn and doesn’t look in the finish today at ratings.
Clemo: Just missed last start at Flemington coming off a solid win at Pakenham. Improving type but need to see a run in this grade to start with today and think needs a few runs more to get this level.
Comments: Not very keen to get invested here apart from two very small bets at odds on two horses that are overs in Diaghan and Relentless. Both have career peak ratings that can win this if good enough today at $51 and $31.
Confidence 50%
Strategy: Small bet on Diaghan to win and Relentless to win.
Flemington Race 4
Liberty Island: Running well enough up in Sydney in decent grade of racing. Did win an open BM-75 two back as well. Top weight looks a little hash today though up in this class and never won on a dry surface.
Making Mayhem: Two runs this prep and both have been very average. Last start a bit better but still no where near good enough to measure up here. Needs to show something today.
Radical: Massive step up last start at MV to win with the low weight. Up 5.5kg today makes it a very difficult task back on a dryer track.
Angry Gee: 3L off Fontein Ruby last prep over 1400m at course. Won first up in Bm-64 grade this prep then ran well enough 2.8L 4th to Duke of Brunswick at MV last start which is nothing to be laughed at. Has ability and up to 1600m may just be the trick. Big jump in distance though!
Got You Double: Smashed a maiden field first up then backed that up by dominating last start at course and distance in BM-64 grade. Back to 3YO grade, you have to respect the runs to date but barrier 18 makes it interesting to see where he sits.
Mr Pago: Did alot wrong last start and just pretend he didn’t go around. Two back run at course and distance on a dry track rated well enough to go close here today.
Zahspeed: First up out the front with 62kg and found nothing. Much harder today and hasn’t measured up at the top end in the past to this level. Looks hard to back today.
Dodging Bullets: Won two from three and stepping up in distance each run has helped. New jockey today might be an issue but seems to run nicely.
Azeema: Out the back instead of out the front last start and smashed the field in a race set up for a swooper. Looks a very good type and i’ll struggle to talk down that last start run. The only issue is not exactly a huge amount of speed in this race.
Recalculate: Continues to run well and no disgrace last start when galloped on 3rd at MV. Not sure he is top level though just yet.
Kaizaen: Ran home nicely enough from out the back for 2nd to Azeema. Meets Azeema 3.5kg better off today at weights and up to 1600m looks ideal.
First Draft: Every chance in Bm-64 last two starts. Struggle to suggest here.
Penny to Sell: Maiden win into 3FB-70 win. Clearly best on soft/heavy. Not getting that today!
Explosive One: FMB-64 winner to start the prep but then failed next two starts in harder. Back down to 3FB-64 last start for a well beaten 2nd. Has to find much more to place here.
Manageress: 3 back the rail last start and had to go back to dead last at the 300m when no run came for her. Ran on late but never really tested. Have to consider but barrier 19 does suck!
Sneferu: Every chance last two runs. Much much harder here. Place chance at best.
Beau Padrille: Ran on okay last start at big odds. Much harder here and place best from that last run i’d say.
Plot The Course: 5.5L maiden winner but that was on a Soft 5 track. Dryer today and much harder class. Still seems to have ability and the time run was very good for the track condition. Don’t write off!
General Custer: Maiden only winner. Not winning this on last start.
Comments: One of the most open races of the day. I think Plot the Course might just run a blinder today and be hard to hold out… but looking logically, Kaizaen is the one to beat.
Confidence 60%
Strategy: Kaizaen to win. Smaller bet Plot The Course.
Flemington Race 5
Desert Jeuney: Haven’t seen this bloke for 8 months… he ran Trust in a Gust to 1L in Group 1 company, then ran 1.8L 3rd in WFA-G2 as well! First up last prep did run 3L 5th over 1200m…. Struggle really to see him winning this over 1100m though at the 60kg.
General Truce: THE GENERAL IS BACK! Huge run last start at Swan Hill but just missed in a photo. Back to a firm track today but no issues for mine. He actually was a good run three back also when 2.8L off Platelet running wide at MV…. rates well.
Hard Romp: Big win first up over Ball of Muscle but then didn’t measure up well behind Lumosty but still ran 3rd… won last start and Lumo franked that when running 3rd in G1 in QLD on the weekend so can’t be harsh on the two back run at all. Weighted to win again today over the 1100m on this track and conditions… all suit.
Play Master: Every chance last start at course and distance. Weight not an issue. Happy to take him on on what we have seen.
Double Pockets: Consistent type that loves to run well… took a long time to find his 2nd, 3rd and 4th wins but with two wins this prep he is back on track. Last start beat an okay field over in Adelaide over the 1200m and looks well suited to this today. Don’t dismiss!
Nadeem Lass: Every chance last start when 2nd to Hard Romp down the straight. Poorly weighted against Hard Romp it seems today though. Place chance i’d say.
Written Up: Ran nicely enough last start behind Smackdown and General Truce back to the 1200m. 1100m looks very short for this guy and best runs on wetter tracks… never won on Good!
Sandhill Flash: Open class 1100m winner in Adelaide last prep and ran 2L off The Quarterback down the straight to finish the prep. Goes very well first up and not sent here to run 2nd.
Bishops Castle: Ran well enough first up at MV but i thought he had every chance. Happy to take him on based on first up run.
Audino: Best runs for this bloke over further and much further into prep. Look for a bold run though.
Lonrockstar: No disgrace last start when blocked for a run at a critical stage with the 60kg running 2nd. Up in class down to 54kg today. Ran a good 3rd to Heart of a Lion two back also. Tough ask in this class but can run well.
Salute to Jude: Has ability but just how much? Never won at this class previously. He ran nicely enough last start at course and similar distance, but i thought he had every possible.
Tom Raks: Couldn’t place in BM-64 last start! Struggle to suggest this bloke today.
Comments: No walk in the park this one to tip up! I think Hard Romp still represents good value at the $4.40+ price and is defiantly worth a bet today. Sandhill Flash has the ratings to measure up while General Truce back in form could run a nice race also. I think Nadeem Lass and Salute to Jude are both under the odds while Lonrockstar also has to be respected… ditto Double Pockets.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Hard Romp to win. Smaller bet Sandhill Flash.
Flemington Race 6
Crafty Cruiser: Hard horse to catch. Stays at the same weights today and if repeats four and five back runs can win this today. Have to include in your Quaddie, you just have to.
Black Jag: Callow whacked the shit outta him last start and got him home. Good old backhand whipping, i counted over 20 whips before the 100m – all legal under the rules. Up 2.5kg today but based on progression can continue to run well. They will be chasing him all the way.
Cooldini: Shown very little to appreciate this prep and I couldn’t be anywhere near him today. Take him on.
Cadillac Mountain: Ran very well last start at MV back to 2040m when 2nd to Digitalism. Up in weight and distance today, based on previous prep when won at this grade similar distance into prep, he looks very well in. Most importantly, you know the speed will be on for him today, all comes down to the ride.
De Little Engine: Struggled to suggest how they were betting this horse as short priced favourite last start and did fail to place. Certainly nog going anywhere near as good as previous prep. Two back run was only fair if honest and last start well beaten by 3 others in what should have been a staying test that suited. 6 runs for 0 wins at this class most important to remember today when taking the shorts, good luck.
Stable Star: Ran fine last start at Flemington but well up at weights and not a wet track which is needed. Can’t win.
Lucciola: I think the trick to this horse is that she really wants cheap sectionals and a final 400m sprint… won’t get that today and take her on for those reasons listed. Does have the top ratings to measure up but not on last three runs.
Arch Fire: Flying over the Hurdles so no excuse why he can’t win here either over a suitable distance…. but best seen on wetter tracks it has to be said.
Prizum: Continues to run well this prep the old bloke. 18 runs at track for 0 wins and 18 runs at class for 0 wins. Place for me today again i’d suggest especially at distance he has never won at.
You Think So: Old mate just hasn’t shown anything this prep and i’m taking him on again especially up in the weights, yuck!
Practiced: Big win last start at course over similar distance blinkers on. Hard task today up to this grade at the weights though.
Jo Jo Girl: Best runs in past to measure up to this rating today have been on wetter tracks i thought. Not sure i can back her or put in Quaddie today, tough task sending her down for this, but hey, have a throw at the stumps, why not!
Timikar: Couldn’t touch him today based on previous run.
Comments: De Little Engine is the false favourite, once again. Taking the horse on today. Cadillac Mountain is the horse that can take the step up today up to this distance while Black Jag can’t be dropped off just because he has gone up in the weights.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 7, 10
Strategy: Cadillac Mountain to win (1 unit). Black Jag to win (0.75 units)
Flemington Race 7
Self Sense: Old mate started the prep so well but back to 1600m then 1400m and didn’t find much at all apart from breathing issues last start. The old two runs off then back onto it again rule does apply for this guy today and looks overs at the price… but never placed at track from 3 runs a concern.
Chile Express: Continues to run well without winning out of turn. Last 20 runs for 1 win (Beat decircles that day yikes)… good place price but not sure he is a winner.
Lord Durante: Poor run last start at Bendigo but did run nicely enough two back at MV to suggest he is weighted nicely enough today to measure up and run a race. Barrier the issue.
Thunderbird One: 6 days between runs, was an eye-catcher from the back at Cranny and appreciated the wetter surface… 4 runs at this track for 0 places an issue though. Has to improve on previous form.
Majestic Duke: Back to leading last start at MV and got away with cheap sectionals on a wet track out the front and blitzed them like we knew he could. Has ability but certainly up against it with the speed in this race today back on the dryer surface. Minor chance.
Orientaped: Best runs recently have been on much wetter tracks and in easier company than this. Couldn’t back on current form.
King’s Dance: 4 runs this prep for two wins and two places. Bottom weight last start at MV and ran well enough out the front but wasn’t a match for the favourite. Up 2kg today but similar class of race if you ask me… only looks fairly rated with such speed in the race.
No Excuses Bec: Never placed 2nd up in past. Best runs have been over further in the past.. ran okay first up though.. has improvement to come.
Let’s Be A Star: 0.1L 2nd to Minnie Downs last start. 54kg again today over 1600m, back to dryer track the issue with 13 runs for 1 win and 0 placings on a dry track.
King’s Palace: Only beat a fair field last start. Much harder today and others preferred. Poor barrier ruins it IMO.
Baron Archer: Shocked that he is 2nd favourite today in this. He beat what exactly at sale? Happy to take him on here even if he is a good type.
Heez Notorious: Never won first or second up says enough.. 3 runs at track for 0 wins 0 places… 6 runs at class for 0 wins 1 place. This is his distance but he looks outclassed first up.
Excitement: Slowly progressing through grades but certainly over stepping the mark today. Place chance at very best.
Rock ‘N’ Gold: Nice barrier today, ran well enough two and three back but Prince Rahy failed since and he was only fair to the line last start at Cranny.
Cisco Delago: Struggle to suggest him here today having only beaten Haiti who had to carry the world and failed to win the very next start (ran 3rd).
Comments: With our best bet of the day Kenjorwood being scratched, this becomes a really difficult leg of the Quaddie to catch. There really seemed only 3 main chances that could match Kenjorwoods rating highs, but there are several horses that can match the next bests ‘current’ form high. I have to take the value in this one which is Self Sense. A repeat of 3 or 4 back runs and the horse is right at the finish fighting out a win at the $30+ on offer!
Confidence 60%
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 4, 6, 8, 9, 12
Strategy: Self Sense at the $30+ is the best value in the race and i’m going to stick my neck out on the horse E/W.
Flemington Race 8
Mr Utopia: Huge run last start at course and distance when 0.5L 2nd to Yesterday’s Song who was also a massive run ridden for luck. Looks more than enough speed in the race today. Rates to win.
Lord of Brazil: Hasn’t won since Jan 2013. First up found nothing. Hard to consider.
Amovatio: Continues to run well up north. Three runs this prep though and hasn’t got closer than 1.8L off a win. Oliver onboard today but not sure that can turn a horse into a winner from where he will be in the run, he will need to out sprint Mr Utopia which will be a hard task.
Decircles: Old mate shown nothing all prep and can’t back him today on what i’ve seen. Take him on.
Venture On: Ran well enough at Flemington then only fairly at MV then went BANG at Bendigo by nearly 4 lengths in open clas.. this is certainly harder today but down 2kg for good measure. That last start win was on a Soft track though so will the Good track today bring him back to them? Most probably.
Correggio: Very hard horse to catch. Clearly on previous preps his best runs have been over further, but did run well first up last prep over 1400m when 2nd to Eximius. First up this prep though was very poor.
Pin Your Hopes: Hard to suggest a win or even place today based on last two runs. Happy to avoid him today.
Le Remas: Missed the start the last two races which is a concern and never exactly in the race. Dryer track, up to 1400m and Flemington… one last throw at the stumps on him today in the Quad then we never take him again if he shows nothing.
Clanga’s Glory: Shown nothing this prep. take on.
Stratigraphy: Can’t jump with them lately. Out the back first up at big odds still ran nicely down the straight. Much better distance today.. has to be considered a ‘chance’ but hasn’t won in nearly a year (over 10 runs) and never in this class.
Academy Jack: Can’t say anything bad really about last start run. Was fair but was also fairly beaten on the day. If they crawl for whatever reason out front he is the one beat, but i doubt that occurs on mapping. Place chance i don’t think he wins on last start ratings.
Castlzeberg: Interesting horse. 3Y-Gp1 2nd in NZ and 3Y-Gp2 winner… 1600m 6L winner of his maiden on a good track… hasn’t been seen since 2013 but with Weir stable and if anyone can get them going… you know who! Bold first up placement considering the races he could have gone to with this horse at ratings.
Sir Andrew: Two runs in Australia and out the back for both of them which is where he won his NZ 3Y-GP2 from.. but he can sit closer to the speed which was proven last run over there. Has ability and is a key chance today.
Bon Rocket: Got the win over an average punch last start. Hard to see measuring up to this grade today on last two runs, has to take the extra step to place.
Comments: Sir Andrew looks very short here today with Craig Williams onboard. Mr Utopia rates on top.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 8, 11, 16, 17
Strategy: Mr Utopia to win.
Flemington Race 9
Miss Rose De Lago: Strong win at Caulfield first up to win in this class over 1200m. Back in class last start to BM-90 at MV and ran well but couldn’t get the win taking a sit midfield instead of being out the front. 60kg today so need to find her best to win this, but certainly has the ability over this distance.
Sino Eagle: Best run this prep was first up and since then has gone backwards. Didn’t exactly rate well first up that win either. Happy to take her on back in this class off the 60kg.
Mamwaazel: Ran only fairly firs tup in BM-85 grade but then ran well enough 1.8L 6th in FM-GP3 grade. Was horrible last start though when fell out of it very quickly at Scone. Hard one to catch and took a few runs in last prep to find her best. Tough from barrier.
Nautical: Unlucky not to get a run last start at MV and looks well rated today to go close. Gets 0.5kg on Miss Rose De Lago for 0.3L defeat two back at Caulfield and will certainly be suited by step up to 1400m and back to Flemington today. Last win course and distance and grade.
Whistle Baby: Continues to run well after two wins in a row, came home late from the back at MV but was really no chance. Back to Flemington ideal but does need to improve to win in this grade today.
Jessy Belle: Found absolutely nothing last start at MV when 4.5L 7th. Rates there or there abouts but i couldn’t trust her today at all.
Pathways: Well beaten last start over the 1000m so step up to 1400m.. but looks reactionary. Ran nicely enough two back at MV when 2nd… has to improve at weights though big time.
Judical Rock: Will be out the front and running on late like the last two starts but seems to just get found out in the final 100m. Expect again today.
Iteration: First up french runner. Best runs in past over 1800m-2400m on Good surfaces. 1400m first up today in this grade… It’s hard to discount the horse but first up for new stable after 8 months off as well… i think you just have to take the horse on.
La Passe: Very nice win last start at Flemington making up for the defeat at Cranbourne previous to that. Up to 1400m and will be far back in the run, will have to produce an even higher rating run than last start to beat these.
Forgeress: Looked to have every chance last start but fairly beaten by La Passe. Does get 2kg on the horse today though which makes things interesting if either of them can measure up from the back here today.
Oh So Assertive: Just ignore the fact she went around the previous three starts, she is clearly a good track only horse over a 1400m+ distance to find her best. Obviously a tough task today at the weights, but based on the last win at Bendigo four runs back, the ratings at the weights have her in this at big odds and I think from barrier 2 you will see her on speed or with a sit and a big chance.
Moulin: Five runs this prep in Bm-64/Bm-70 grades and hasn’t got within 3.8L of a win. No chance today.
Nippinski: R-58 winner two back then failed ot place last start in R-58… shouldn’t be allowed to race here today.
Comments: Looks an open race to finish the day. At the weights and ratings I have Nautical as the clear top pick in the race while Oh So Assertive is the clear overs in the race based on market prices.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 4, 5, 11, 12, 13
Strategy: Nautical to win. Smaller bet Oh So Assertive.
