Welcome to The Profits form guide for Flemington on 25 July 2015. We finally broke our losing streak at Flemington last week with a few very good results. Our Best Bet ran a solid 2nd for a slight profit while HerStory got us a very nice priced win after running 2nd to our Best Bet today in Volcanic Ash the previous run. Charmed Harmony delivered the goods again and has shot up to 5th in Metro wins for the reason in Vic! Back at Caulfield today with the rail true and a bit of give in the ground, it will be interesting to see how the track turns out, i can’t see it going beyond the Good4-Soft6 range though. Outside of our best today, the card doesn’t ooze confidence with Lord of the Sky our next best, even after that last start flop at Caulfield.. the price being bet is just simply stupid against this field if you take the Group form from 2 and 3 back as guides. Certainly wouldn’t be looking to bet into more than four races at Caulfield.. first leg of Quaddie looks a bit of a nightmare also! As always, i hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting.
Melbourne Best Bet
Caulfield Race 3 – Volcanic Ash to win
Made my intentions clear on this horse after it’s last start win for us as a best bet that I think it’s the real deal. Posted up on Wednesday on twitter that it was a clear bet and when they put up $3.80 we launched into that price. When all was said and done form wise, the horse came up our highest rating all year of 95% confidence (note confidence level reflects on many factors – a clear one being price – no point betting a horse at the wrong odds after all). With the reduced price, there is still a MASSIVE amount of ‘value’ in the price from my ratings. Very keen, everything suits.
Melbourne Next Best Bet
Caulfield Race 7 – Lord of the Sky to win
Just like the boy in the schoolyard teasing the girl he secretly likes, i’m a massive fan of this horse. Yes we give it the name Lord of the MEOW and all those names, but when all is said and done, the horse has 3 TOP rating races on the record that would simply BLOW this field away, by lengths. I think the stigma this run will catch on and there will be many punters jumping off… I actually think the early price being bet won’t be snapped up and will drift until about an hour before the race…expect to see some late support for the horse especially if there is a leader bias. Rates much shorter than current quote if can re-produce best runs and has the barrier to do so.
Melbourne Best Each-Way
Caulfield Race 4 – Chiavari on the Each-Way
Loved the last two runs from this horse flying home and just missing on both occasions. Good barrier today and D Oliver onboard, I have them sitting significantly further forward in running today and getting a charmed run… will handle any track condition is a significant plus tipping this a few days out from the run also I have to say.. really like these types that handle all ground types.
Melbourne Quaddie
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 6, 9, 14
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 10
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 8, 12
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Caulfield Race 1 – 1000m – Noel Elizabeth Barter Handicap
Audino: Never won first up in the past but low sample size and has placed…. has won at similar distance previously in the past and the races he measured up in last prep weren’t that far above this distance wise. Wouldn’t be overly confident but if the money comes… *taps nose*
Petrify: Very disappointing last prep when failed to fire late… but the early work in prep was quite good over the 1100m-1200m when ran 2nd in this grade 2nd up and then won in BM-90 grade also beating Sea Lord and a few others.
Corsica Lad: Loves the short distance tracks… could be related to Fab Fevola! BM-63 win and the Flat Knack win last prep.. first up on Firm 2 at Grafton ran well but this is a step up today city grade in Victoria… Hard horse to rate coming back to this.
Sunday Escape: Favourite first up and beaten into 2nd on a Heavy track.. back to dryer track last start and was good but still well beaten at Ballarat. Similar class today and will be going forward again.
Glowstick: Wide barrier today but heading to the front… will probably have to work hard to get a front position so may just sit outside the leader. Top weight last start at MV ran well but still very well beaten. Won previously at Echuca beating some okay types. Not sure he is the best here though.
Copernicus: Nice win first up on heavy then last start at Sale destroyed the BM-64 field from on speed on the Soft 7 track. Time was fine but nothing huge ratings wise for mine. Has to improve to measure up… would love the rain to stay around clearly.
Jersey Whistler: Very nice win last start in BM-70 grade at MV on a heavy when came over the top of them. Previous runs measured up in city grade over this distance but best runs clearly on rain affected ground.
Cobblestones: Showed a load of ability in past preps but found nothing at all at end of last prep. Trial was fair. Weighted super well if can return to best form… has a good first up record and maps well.
Just for Starters: Won a 35k race then went onto MV and ran okay from the back then failed in the Vain Stakes.. 341 days between runs says a few things.
Tatler Belle: Nothing shown first up. Previous prep nothing shown. Previous prep to that ran okay but still… hard to have.
Comments: I have a strong opinion of Cobblestones when ridden on speed. Ridden top 4 just 3 runs last prep for a 1st 2nd and 1st. Barrier today should clearly allow it to occur and the 1000m is the ideal distance here… low weight gets her well in.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Cobblestones E/W
Caulfield Race 2 – 1400m – David Hopwood Handicap
Two-Year-Old race with limited form lines to measure up around coming into this test today which always provides a tricky result from experience. Very happy to avoid a write-up here as normal.. especially when there is alot of Synthetic form to bring into it… not to mention the un-seen runners. one being the favourite. I’ll still give a tip, I loved the trial of Red Alto before it’s first run where it was unlucky not to be in the finish and i think it’s in for a big run today from the barrier.
Comments: Happy to sit back with a beer and watch this race go around.
Confidence 40%
Strategy: Red Alto E/W
Caulfield Race 3 – 1400m – Greg Williams Handicap
Lazyaxl: Surprisingly led last start after not being on speed the previous 9 runs. Won by 3.75L but that was a Heavy 8 track. Rain will come but not to the extent required to get us beyond a Soft 5. Outside barrier so will have to work to get forward if they decide to.
Liberty Island: Hard to talk poorly of his last start run when 3rd to Raposo at Flemington last start. Previous run was solid also at Flemington behind Dodging Bullets, but even off the last two runs, you have to question his will to win considering he was well beaten both runs with every chance in both races. Will be there or there abouts… barrier doesn’t help.
Volcanic Ash: Maps as the only real potential leader today and from barrier 8 will not have to work very hard to get a spot. Stays at 1400m which is key today and any track condition seems to suit having won on a Good 4 last start to a Heavy 8 first up while Soft 7 run two back was 0.1L defeat to a top class form horse. Rates as a Group 1 horse going forward for mine over this distance if continues to improve. Feels like my most confident bet for some time based on previous runs and this grade of race.
He’s A Given: A long time between wins in CL2 Heavy 8 conditions up in Sydney. Best performance since was 2.2L 3rd at Randwick and was well beaten two back by Volcanic Ash and last start by Raposo when near last. Looks to have had enough.
Strong Hand: Heavy 10 winner last start and previous to that Soft 7 winner in maiden class. Step up again today and rates a chance, but have to question dryer track form up to this grade from that barrier.
Arabian Beauty: Two runs this prep and yet to win. Last start effort was sufficient to measure up to this grade today but has to improve clearly on that run to be threatening to take it out.
Benny Dee: Three runs this prep… best was two back when actually ran well out the front at Flemington with a perfect run but just missed when 2nd. Much harder race today though… suspect the rain hurts chances.
Dollars Not Sense: Maiden only winner on Synthetic first up. Didn’t blow us away but does come into this with 52kg… but time was very plain for the race considering 1380m.
King’s Command: Going okay enough this prep after a first up maiden win, throat issue 2nd up when well beaten in a high quality race on Heavy and returned back with a nice 2nd to Spirit Cent last start at Pakenham. Will be on speed and can improve up to the 1400m.
Vienna Prince: Long way off them into 4th on a Heavy 8 at MV last start. Previous run in similar easier company headed out at Mornington and was well beaten three back at Flemington.. Has to pull a trick outta the bag today.
Hell on Earth: Solid enough run first up over the 1200m when 3.35L 4th in similar grade of race. Comes in low at the weights which certainly helps today and has to be considered up in distance today 2nd up.
Renaudin: Only win too date was in a maiden on the Geelong Synthetic. Last start back on Synthetic well beaten in much easier class than this. Take him on.
Volontiers: Came back well enough with a long priced win first up at Pakenham on the Synthetic. Up in class last start ran 2nd but wasn’t disgraced. Certainly will be on speed today from the inside barrier and looks well weighted, but has to improve significantly on ratings to win. Can place.
Tatamagouche: Maiden runner who really shouldn’t be in this race until the horse can actually win. Take on.
Comments: Volcanic Ash is the clear standout today. Looks the only horse that should clearly be out the front today, but the great thing about the horse is how adaptable to the track condition and speed he is… so if someone wants to take him on, he can just slot in for a sit. Price of $3.80 put up on Wednesday was massive and I launched into it. Word of warning on Volcanic Ash, he may look like he is beaten on the turn or in the straight as he has the ability to be hard to get going and switches off before going boom… could trade very high in running. It’s important to note that this place was a 95% confidence play on Wednesday for me as tweeted… with the price having come into $2.90 best around now, it has gone back to 90%… there is still a huge amount of value in the price as i have the horse rated MUCH shorter.
Confidence 90%
Strategy: Volcanic Ash to win.
Caulfield Race 4 – 1200m – Aaron Barnett Handicap
Japhils: Won two preps back very well over 1000m at MV when slowly away so proved in 2YO grade that she has no issues with the sprint trip even though she won over 1400m last prep and was raced up to 1600m. Obviously had a freshen up between runs and have to respect the win at Morphetville four runs back i believe. Key is back to 3YO grade racing today and claim from a positive barrier. Gutsy type.
Chiavari: Last two starts has flown home and missed from out the back. Up to 1200m obviously ideal today and any rain will only suit.. but doesn’t need it either. Clearly shown to have ability and likes this track. Can sit handy midfield from barrier with D Oliver onboard.
Mossbeat: Very very good run first up over the unsuitable 1100m distance. Up to 1200m today should suit just a load better today. Has the ability to measure up with the best of them from what we have seen in the past… and first up was a great run. Issue with barrier 12 should see her out the back.. or knowing Mr Williams, 3-wide.
All About Rhythm: Lightly raced type with ability. Ran home very well for 5th last start at Flemington when led… but this is much harder in reality and i couldn’t have for anything but a place.
Cataleya: Only won a maiden to date. Did run 2nd at MV two runs back with a very low weight. This looks a harder task from the barrier today but has shown some ability so can’t fully discount.
TheLittleRacketeer: One run last prep and ran well enough to suggest improvement this prep… but how much can you read into all of it? Moody can be a sneaky bugger with these types can’t he. Has been backed.
All Aussie: One run and win on the Synthetic. This is OBVIOUSLY a much harder task to measure up today.. did trial well previous to that win around some very good types.
Courtside: Two strong trials coming into prep. Ran well enough first up in much easier grade for 2nd then last start on heavy ran well also once again. Big step up again today but weighted to have every chance if good enough.
Northern Fury: Two runs for two wins over in Wagga in maiden and CL1 grade. Massive step up today but those ratings will actually mean she measures up well here from the barrier at the weights. Halved in price since opening.
Cinnamon Carter: Maiden win last prep over 2000m.. can’t see this distance in the horse.
Comic Miss: Well beaten at Flemington with a very good ride last start. Maiden only winner… struggle to suggest on what we have seen to date.
High Diamonds: 4L winner on the Synthetic last start at Geelong over 1300m… previous run 6th… Hard horse to rate but does have ability… just not overly convinced it’s in this grade just yet?
White House Lady: Not the worst runner today but form suggests will find at very least one too good today from barrier.
Comments: Looks to be about 4-5 key chances on ratings in this one today. On my ratings with a closer to the middle/speed run, Chiavari looks very hard to beat today with Oliver onboard with a dream run from barrier 3.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Chiavari E/W
Caulfield Race 5 – 1200m – MyPunter.Com Handicap
Iggimacool: Very well backed last start from a massive price into nearly single figures… out the back and flew home and just missed a place and even the win. Weighted well enough again today and has to be considered with that run under the belt.
Snippetee Bee: Last win was over in Tassy in much easier class. Last prep failed to place over there. Hard to see the required improvement first up.
Flash of Doubt: Big surprise win three back. Failed to produce a similar run since… hard to trust her unless very wet.
Pilly’s Wish: Won two from three this prep including a nice win at course and distance last start. Claim today looks IDEAL for her from midfield. Would ideally want a Good 4 track.
Fine Approach: Another behind Pilly’s Wish last start that found the line strongly after being held up. Continues to run well but failed to just be in a photo the past four runs after two wins over in Adelaide before that. D Oliver goes on today and barrier 2 means will get the trip required to be in the finish today.
Bet You She Rocks: More than a year off is a huge concern. Last two wins over 1600m. Take on.
Vain Attraction: Very very hard horse to catch. Last win was at course and similar distance when FLEW home. Had shown form previous to that run though suggesting was going well… this prep shown nothing.
Forgeress: Nice win on heavy at the bool last start after an average run in harder company at Flemington the previous run over 1400m. Best runs on wetter tracks this prep. Has the ability.. awkward barrier.
Young Tigers Jeuny: Will be just off the speed today. Nice first up run at Flemington when 3rd just beaten by Forgeress, won very well last start at Pakenham on the Synthetic… previous best rating runs have the horse in this race but has to certainly improve.
Northern Saint: Two runs for two wins last prep is hard to dispute form wise! 52.5kg today up in class over the 1200m today but certainly rates well enough to win. First up last prep was a 4.5L victory… will have trained on.
Aware: Good runs last prep… first up was poor and last start well beaten on heavy. Struggle to suggest on current form lines.
Bring a Ring: Failed last prep. This prep not been close to a win but might really just be wanting a dryer track?
Liberated Rose: Couldn’t win last three races at Moe or Sale in R-58-Bm-64 grade. No thanks.
Comments: Pilly’s Wish will be very hard to beat again today based on previous runs. Northern Saint is the standout at the odds today with $10/$3.20 being bet.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Pilly’s Wish to win. Smaller bet on Northern Saint.
Caulfield Race 6 – 2400m – Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap
It’s About You: Very questionable step up in distance today to 2400m considering last start 2000m heavy 9 couldn’t keep up with rivals. Could just have been flat run based on previous run? Decent enough runs three previous runs… trainer knows a few things so have to believe horse is suited? Will be a long way off them at the turn.
Zahspeed: The horses name tells you all you need to know… will be on the speed. Clear leader in the race. Very poor run two back over 1400m but last start made up for it with a dashing win as favourite in easier grade at Morphetville by a large margin. Weighted nicely and has the best Caulfield front riding jockey onboard in K Mallyon. Obviously has to improve to measure up but does look well suited by distance on previous runs.
Heavy: Gone through the grades this prep and by my numbers has measured up quite well. Has made the step up each time this prep with no issues and based on his unlucky run 2nd last start at course over 2000m you certainly get the feeling he will eat up the 2000m. Barrier the issue for getting a good mid-field spot.
Monteux: Massive step up in distance thrown in the deep end today. Thought his run last start behind Raposo for 5th had alot of merit… but it’s really hard to measure up those ratings in this race today when going up a full 800m!
Cuban Fighter: Maiden only winner in runs to date… last prep did run 2nd at Flemington in the St Leger but i’m really not sure we can back him expecting a remotely similar run here off the first two runs this prep.
Kaizaen: Too far back last start at Flemington from a poor barrier. Ideal draw today from the 2 barrier and will have more chance to find the line. First time at this distance certainly a big jump up.. but has the breeding to get the distance.
Chasing Liberty: Another today jumping up in distance. Best run this prep was winning a R-58 race and BM-60… has to find significantly more to measure up here.
Macrobius: Couldn’t get within 5L last start over 2000m on synthetic. Shocked if a place is had today.
Gilchrist: He looks to be ideally placed today after storming home behind Heavy last start at Caulfield. Rates well here today… unlucky barrier though.
Esprit de Sol: R-58 winner two back… failed to place in BM-64 last start. Enough said.
Fine Evader: Maiden winner only last start and just snuck the win. Hard to suggest a place.
Ginali: Maiden winner this prep… not sure exactly how to measure up the form coming back from heavy, but surely can’t measure up to these on all those stats of runs to date.
Magnazone: BM-64 win two back at Mildura… failed last start at Donald on the heavy… struggle to suggest the win but could sneak a place if suited by the distance.
Temps Voleur: I had written him off as gone as a horse but his last two runs had merit compared to previous runs… looks to be wanting the 2400m… you never know. Laing.
Get Ya Kicks: Not winning on current form in this grade.
Arizona Rose: Got her maiden last start at Bendigo after two previous goes at the distance… no thanks.
Mondiale: Can’t even win a maiden.
Comments: Wide open race and Heavy is the clear top rater on last start run. Gilchrist is a close 2nd on my list while Temps Voleur is the spec bet in the race if you want one.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 6, 9, 14
Strategy: Heavy to win. Smaller bet Gilchrist.
Caulfield Race 7 – 1200m – Bletchingly Stakes
Smokin’ Joey: Old mate was a huge run last start at Ipswich to get the win wide no cover finding the line. His best runs have all been over further distances than the 1200m today, especially recently. Obviously has the ratings to win but I really feel that this isn’t his ideal distance today.
Lord of the Sky: MEOWWWWWWWW. Horrible last start about 30 rating points below his previous two runs, it was simply just a forgive run. Has a very good record at this track so just forgive and move onto today. Barrier 3 looks ideal on mapping with the speed outside of him as well so shouldn’t have to work extra hard to get his leading spot. Return to best ratings blows this lot away… one last chance. I’ll be on track to give him a Rev up.
Decircles: He hardly ever runs a poor race, but old mate DeCricles best runs this prep have been over further distances. Never won at track and has been a long time between drinks… did beat Lord of the Sky that day down the Flemington straight… but that was a while ago!
Rich Jack: Impressive win last start at Caulfield when leaders were favoured late in the day. Previous runs were solid as expected on ratings… has to make a very large jump up the ratings today to measure up, but he does ooze class.
Inspector: Nice enough ratings this prep with wins over distance at Seymour two back… beaten last start over 1300m on Synthetic at Geelong a form issue though… but did beat Rich Jack home 3 back.
Wales: Lightly raced horse that showed potential with a long time between preps. Showed nothing the last two preps though so hard to even give a second look.
Petrology: Very disappointing all things considered last prep. Ran well enough in the Manfred behind Java then failed to let down with any great run in the Orr or Guineas. Previous prep won 1800m and 1600m including G2… not honestly sure this is his BEST distance and 3YO in this class, i’ll be taking him on even with Olly onboard.
Platinum Rocker: Gave all the signs in the trial that she is in for a strong prep. Last prep failed to get a win and could only run top 3 in Group 2 company over 1400m. A long time between drinks.. Williams onboard the main reason she has been backed it appears? Clearly wants a dry track
Nadeem Lass: Hard to took poorly of her last few runs, but she just doesn’t find a way to win! Happy to take on in this today.
Angels Beach: Every chance last start in the Monash when 2.75L 2nd to Miss Promiscuity. Hasn’t shown the same turn of foot this prep as we saw last prep which is an issue.
Written Dash: Last prep G3 winner first up when ridden cold from the back.. flew home… good sectionals.. massive price. No match for opponents 2nd up and then failed to run out 3rd up as well.. Key is first up today? Massive jump in class for mine.
Comments: When all is said and done, Lord of the Sky is a massive price here today. If you ignored the fact that he went around with what is simply a forgive run last start, he should be odds today. I’m game to give old mate one last shot today and simply believe the price is too large to pass up.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 10
Strategy: Lord of the Sky to win.
Caulfield Race 8 – 2000m – Vobis Gold Heath
Refulgent: Consistently inconsistent in getting a win. Hasn’t broken through this prep. Last start was his poorest run in the past four. Not sure 2000m is ideal this prep on last start.
Word of Mouth: Huge win two back at Moonee Valley by a massive distance. Last start was gone a long way out.. not sure there is as much ‘pace’ in this race today which should help his chances.
Clairvaux: Won at big odds beating Refulgent two runs back at Flemington before sitting out the back last start at Flemington and coming home well enough, but being no match for the winner running into 2nd. Poor barrier today ensures will be out the back again.
The Terricks: Ran ‘well’ in much lower grade at Flemington two runs back then failed last start on heavy. Not sure he has the ratings to win this.
Lannister: Ran quite well last start at Sale when 2.5L 3rd to Abbasso. Well beaten 5L by word of mouth two back though.
Pompeius: Close but missed last start when 2nd to Abbasso at Sale. Previous four runs in lesser class for 0 wins this prep. Keeps finding a few too good.
Tre Dieci: Looks a handy type on the way up. Won well enough at Bendigo but didn’t exactly beat much last start. Need to improve significantly.
Radical: 3YO winner last start beating a nice horse in Heavy last start with top weight. D Oliver takes the ride today. Nice enough record this prep with all the last 3 runs suggesting he should go well. Ratings also have him well in at weights.
Posh Rock: Maiden only winner. Hard to suggest after 5th last start in R-58 race.
Za Za Zoom: Poorly weighted in this race today on ratings. Hard to suggest a place.
Manageress: Eye-Catching run last start at Flemington from the back showing a massive turn of foot. Will she have the same late sharp sprint up to the 2000m today 6th up into prep is the massive question today that has to be answered.
Comments: The top 4 horses in the race are all going to be out the back’ish’ today on mapping. I get the feeling from barrier 3 Word of Mouth will be getting further forward than the rest and has the ratings on two back run to beat them all home if good enough. Tough race.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 8, 12
Strategy: Word of Mouth to win.
Caulfield Race 9 – 1800m – The Champagne Pommery Masters Handicap
Good Value: Seemed to have every chance last start at Flemington when top pick for us in the race and had 3 run straight past him. Straight may have just been a little too long but i’m not convinced that is the issue. Certainly has the ability to win but will be doing it tough with top weight unless rail is golden.
Diametric: Probably just ignore last start run when didn’t handle the heavy. Certainly will get some fitness out of that run. Based on last prep you have to consider a chance today measuring up in the city including a win at Randwick over 1600m.
Eximius: Very very poor run last start at Caulfield. Certainly needs a few more runs to find the best this prep… has a win in him though so keep an eye and ear out for when Price says he will win.
Lord Durante: Strong win two back at Caulfield. Last start just never a chance when over-racing and out the back. Has to be on speed.. barrier 15 hurts chances significantly today with so much speed in the race.
Commanding Time: Consistently running ‘okay’ and found his best run last start when led until about the 150m but no match for the rest of them. Not for mine.
Onpicalo: Looked a winning chance in the Swan Hill Cup three runs back but since then failed to measure up in harder company. Last start didn’t handle the 2000m it seems… but time run was fairly fast also in the race. Need a perfect ride and luck to win.
Miss Rose De Lago: Sensational type that simply had an off day last start at Flemington when found nothing after a perfect run. Based on two/three and four back runs she rates very well in this grade today and should be on speed today. Best runs have been over shorter distances is certainly the issue in my mind.
Falago: Big improvement last start at Flemington when went wide and destroyed the field. Very well weighted again today all things considered and step back to 1800m shouldn’t hurt. Best run clearly on a Good track it seems but no issues with Soft 5.
Miss Mossman: NZ runner first up in Aus… happy to always take these types on first up and this does look a very hard task.
Lightenuff: Led last start at Flemington and just not good enough. The same story the previous three runs.
Gingerboy: Proved to be a very solid and progressive type last prep when won at MV and Flemington before finishing with a 2nd at MV. First two runs this prep were very average at best. Certainly be suited by dryer track today, but can’t suggest today on what we have seen. Looking for Hurdles.
Stratigraphy: 6L+ defeats the past four runs. First up run was good as well strangely… not thanks.
Hot Power: Looked a good type two preps back but came back last prep and was average in easier grade… two runs this prep found little.
Hannaford: Have a soft spot for this guy, but it’s been a long time between drinks and last two runs were poor at best. Can’t have here.
Nisos: One run this prep so far and couldn’t place in easier company on the Sunshine Coast. Previous prep didn’t get a win in easier contests. No thanks.
Comments: A rough race to end the day. Clearly on ratings Miss Rose De Lago is the best horse in the race, but will she be suited by the 1800m? Falago was a massive run last start, but can that be repeated today from a position out the back? Good Value had his chance last start at Flemington, but will the step up to 1800m be ideal today? I just can’t pass up the price on Miss Rose de Lago to find out in this level of race.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8
Strategy: Miss Rose de Lago E/W
