Welcome to The Profits form guide for 15 December 2015 at Bairnsdale. It was great to see Tall Ship get a win on the board this prep on Sunday in the Cup. I think Tall Ship is a horse we can follow all the way into next Spring as long as it stays sound, keep your eyes on it. Onto another Tuesday meeting and we have found two solid bets on the card. As always, i hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting.
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Bairnsdale Race 6 – Miss Procyon for 1.5 units @ $2.20 to win
Two strong runs in BM-64 grade over the past month. 4th two runs back 5L off the very good winner in Smart Dart who won by 3 lengths and then went onto run close 2nd at Sandown next start in BM-70 grade. Last start ran 2nd to Run Charlie Run, a horse that progressed from a maiden win (2.8L) to BM-64 2nd (1L) then the win last start in BM-64. She finds herself down in grade here from a positive barrier to have every possible chance.
Bairnsdale Race 7 – Military for 1 unit @ $7/$2.30 Each-Way
Great form lines heading into this today. BM-70 back to BM-64. Last start ran 1.5L 5th at Pakenham, but was 0.1L off 3rd place. Finds himself only up 0.5kg back down in this class. The horse that ran 3rd in Shakespearean Lass came out on the weekend at Flemington in BM-78 grade and won by 1.8 lengths. The horse that ran 3rd Simply Ming the previous start ran 0.3L 3rd at Moonee Valley in BM-78 grade. There is no question about this being a different race to last start, but his last win was from further back in the race so position in run isn’t an big an issue as you would expect.
