Gear Changes: Mutual Regard – Lugging Bit First Time & Standard Bit Off & Winkers Off, Garud – Cheekers Off, Count of Limonade – Blinkers Off
1. Taiyoo: Disappointing run last start at Caulfield, clearly not a wet tracker we know for the future now. Very good run first up but may have also just been flat from that 2nd up also. Stays at 1700m which should suit today… don’t dismiss him easily.
2. Extra Zero: Always runs very well. Missed a place last start though which is rare. Goes very well at this track.
3. Mutual Regard: Went around single figures in the Melbourne Cup last year. Never won at distance and needs further.
4. Escado: Poor run first up. Needs several runs to get into prep i’d reckon and further required.
5. Set Square: Certainly a handy type and first up run missed start and hit line hard to just miss. Much harder today but up to 1400m gives her more of a chance and back to dryer surface ideal.
6. Bondeiger: Showed nothing first up which is a bit of a concern. Last prep went through the grades and was a close 2nd in the main race in Spring for the 3YO stayers. Clearly wants further to find best.
7. Like a Carousel: Just simply needs further.
8. Observational: Very interesting horse. One run in Australia for a very good win at Bendigo at this distace in listed class. Word is the horse is FLYING as well. Was $4.30 favourite against Snow Sky three preps back over in UK. Barrier the only issue and will be going back.
9. Diametric: He continues to run well but just can’t get a win. Back to 1700m and rock hard fit, you have to believe he can go close but this barrier takes away most hopes i’d suggest.
11. Iggimacool: McCat :> she has run 2nd solidly three times in a row… so yes she will be in the finish again but this does look a step up again today for mine! Have to respect.
13. De Little Engine: Finished off last prep with a win over 2600m. Best runs over further than this, have to take him on at this distance.
14. Don Doremo: He’s a decent horse but not over this distance, he needs 2000m+ to find his best.
15. Garud: Not the worst first up record but needs further to find his very best and prefer a few runs in.
19. He or She: Looks like he will get a run today. Ran nicely enough first up 5th to Charmed Harmony. Up in distance and back to dryer track! Suited.
20. Abbasso: Every chance for us last start but just not good enough. Take on here from barrier.
Comments: Tough race to end the day but let’s give it a shot. I think Taiyoo can cause a shock heading onwards to a Caulfield Cup bid. He has proved his worth on the dry surface at this track in the past over similar distances from positive barriers and i’m expecting that to occur again today.
Confidence 60%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 8, 9, 11, 19
Strategy: Taiyoo E/W
