1. Kourkam: First up and unfancied last start at Moonee Valley. Has the horse gotten over whatever made his form turn horrible last prep? Not sure on that last start run to be honest. Hard to have.
2. Excites Zelady: Continues to run well this prep in similar class. 4 runs 0 places on a soft track on the record but does go okay on wet really.
3. Burning Front: Well backed to beat Turn Me Loose in the Seymour Cup and didn’t go close. Two back run was a very solid run at Moonee Valley. Best runs on dryer tracks.
4. Zebrinz: Every chance each run this prep and continues to fall far short. Goes okay on wet tracks.
5. Electric Fusion: Very nice run three back but two runs since found absolutely nothing. Hard to have. Never won on wet.
7. Rock Forthe Ladies: Just won last start at Moonee Valley in greys race. This is obviously much harder. Really is he good enough to take the next step? Not convinced.
8. Lord Athenaeum: A really decent type of horse. Two good wins in a row. Has to improve again.. 3 runs in this class for 0 placings so far.
9. Leveraction: Stuck on solidly as always last start but didn’t have enough in the tank. Expect similar today. Could a wetter track help though?
10. Audino: Not going well enough this prep to suggest.
11. Act of Valour: Well beaten from on speed last start at Geelong. coming off a decent run at Caulfield from the back. Measured up as a 3YO but not sure on this preps form. Handles the wet.
12. Aurum Spirit: Others preferred based on runs and no wins on soft tracks.
13. Seul Spirit: Surprise winner last start at Geelong at big odds. Has to improve on that run.
14. Kinacple Chief: Wide last start. Previous run only fair. Doing a bit wrong. Has to improve.
15. Distant Rock: Well beaten last start. Take on based on runs this prep.
19. My Dancing Duel: Couldn’t win in BM-64 grade this prep.
20. Way Too Easy: Others preferred, struggle to suggest the win.
Comments: Hard way to finish the day. Burning Front has the perfect barrier to get the perfect run. The horse is consistent and it’s the only way i could approach the race at the weights.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 11
Strategy: Burning Front E/W