2. Mirage: Ran quite well first up at Caulfield beaten 2.5L by Fast and Rocking who has gone on to run well in Group class after that run. Has a good 2nd up record and has never missed a place on heavy or soft in the place. Last run at class and distance on soft was a win. Respect.
3. Reldas: One run on soft for this bloke and he didn’t handle it. Going very well this prep with two very strong runs and keeps improving. Up to 1400m ideal and should run better today at this track around the turn.
4. Gracious Prospect: Well backed in betting. 9 runs on soft or heavy and hasn’t won ever in the past. Going well enough but has to improve for mine 1000m back up to 1400m. Never won 2nd up and just once from 15 starts in class.
6. Chile Express: Has won on soft in the past and placed three other times from seven starts. 1 win from 24 starts at track and 1 win from 19 starts at class. This is his best distance range. First up he normally performs well but this is clearly his hardest test in a long while first up. Has to be peaking.
7. Longeron: Nice record on soft tracks. Never won first up which is a big issue and 1 win from 9 starts at distance 1 win from 10 starts at track and 0 wins from 4 starts at class has us worrying a little if he will measure up at this distance in this class. Will be on speed from the wide barrier with a few others pushing a strong tempo.
8. Timeless Prince: Down from up north for the first time at track. The wetter it is the better his chances with 2 wins 1 place from 3 starts on heavy. Two runs this prep over similar distances but has failed to show anything close to the form required to win this.
9. Malaguerra: On speed start to finish win via the monorail on Tuesday. Four runs back soft track win on record so should handle the track just fine. Big step up again today is the issue but ran a super time so hard to ignore the last start run. Flying.
10. Ulmann: Three runs this prep and has gone backwards since the fair run first up behind Fell Swoop. Never run on wet.
12. Flow Meter: Best performances in the past have been on dryer tracks. Coming into this with two runs this prep and hasn’t been good enough to win for mine.
13. Staviva: Two wins in easier company to start the prep then well beaten the last two runs. Did have excuses both runs but to measure up here has to improve. Does go well on Soft.
Comments: Very hard way to end the day. Almost every runner in the race has a chance on the ratings. Wide in the Quaddie. Mirage will be very hard to get past if front runners are a chance throughout the day.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 7, 9, 13
Strategy: Mirage on the Each-Way
