2. Kuro: Very poor run last start at Caulfield. Just ignore that run and rate on best run this prep which was his previous run.
3. Gregers: Disappointing run last start in the Tristarc when didn’t finish off the race well from on speed. Time run wasn’t overly fast either. Back to 1200m should be more suitable but has never won from 5 attempts at track. Did go close behind Churchill Dancer and Under The Louvre three runs back here.
4. Griante: Huge run two back in the Moir Stakes. Never a chance from the run he had last start from the back in the Manikato. Well back in class here today, her best runs measure up here and ran 0.2L off Politeness three back who won the Myer on Saturday.
6. Countryman: Continues to go up in grade this prep. Not good enough at the top class so far. Hard to see the win for mine on current form over this distance.
8. Sea Lord: Not going well enough. Happy to bet around him. Never won at track.
9. Fast and Free: Was a very good horse at his best before getting injured. Been off for a year and a half. Best runs over further than this distance and very best runs on wetter.
10. Pago Rock: Pulled up lame last start at Caulfield after every chance on speed. Was still a good run all things considered. Back to 1200m after a vet issue makes it hard but has won at track previously.
11. The Monstar: Every possible chance last start at Caulfield and was disappointing. Has to improve.
12. Mandla: Nice enough run first up at Morphetville running 3rd behind Flamberge getting within 1L of the victory. Goes well at this track and may have found his ability after a good spell. Looks a good chance.
13. We’re Gonna Rock: Not today not ever. No thanks.
15. The Thief: Not good enough.
16. Villopoto: Thought his run on speed was okay last start at Caulfield. Have to improve on that run though today.
17. Sarajevo: Pushed Kuro last prep at Doomben to 0.4L over 1200m. First up missed start and was horrible. Not sure what to make of this runner. Meets Kuro 3.5kg better off for that run.
18. Colours of the Wind: Looked a nice type coming through the grades but never really made the full jump. Has to peak and more.
Comments: Wide open race. Griante has the ratings to go close here and I think the price is more than appropriate. Mandla’s run behind Flamberge shows the horse is back on track for a good run today. Kuro keeps disappointing and i can’t take those short odds. Sarajevo’s best run would measure up and the horse is well weighted here. Pago Rock’s best would also measure up as well as Gregers, Afleet Esprits and even Kapernicks… it’s a wide open race and i’m not overly keen to play.
Confidence 60%
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 12, 17
Strategy: Griante to win. Smaller bet Mandla.
