3. Rudy: Disappointing run at Moonee Valley last start but did go wide in the dead zone so probably just forgive? Group 2 and Group 3 2nd and 3rd this prep against decent class. Better on wetter and better over shorter distances?
4. Desert Jeuney: Surprised a few in the Cup at double figures at Pakenham last start. Always runs well and has won at this track in the past. Right in this.
5. Hopfgarten: Not going anywhere near well enough to consider.
6. Jacquinot Bay: HUGE run last start at Caulfield in Group 1 company on speed and no luck no cover yet stuck on better than most close to the speed. Well back in class and looks suited. Loves Flemington and maps to get the lead if they want it.
7. Sadler’s Lake: No disgrace all four runs this prep at all with a Group 3 win and 3.8L off Winx in Group 1 company. Has to improve on the last two runs but back to 1800m from 2000m may help. Has ability.
8. Calvin Williams: French 2014 form in group company including a WFA-LR win or two over there. Two runs in Australia and found nothing. Hard to suggest from barrier.
9. Malice: Huge price and ran quite well for 4th last start on cox plate day. Decent enough run three back for 2nd in Group 3 company and even 2 back for 3.5L 7th behind Winx in Group 1. Going the right way towards a victory.
10. The Bowler: Continues to run well and continues to just get beat this prep. Certainly on the right track… slowly away last start at Sale probably cost him the race. Good barrier unless they miss the start, could find himself out the back.
11. Tall Ship: Just not going as well as everything thinks to justify the price today. I’m his biggest fan and thought he could be a caulfield cup horse this year, i was totally wrong. Best on wetter.
12. Tanby: Old mate is looking for further. May be a warm up for run for a run on Saturday?
14. Scream Machine: Going okay! 3.3L off Turn Me Loose not the worst form to bring into this. Good run three back behind Good Value. Has to improve but have to consider.
15. Awesome Rock: Loves to run well without winning. Four runs this prep and all have been very credible. Back to the easiest race this prep off a Group 3 2nd to Stratum Star last start. Will appreciate the speed being on and will push forward to a midfield position at worst from the barrier. Look for him late.
16. Best Case: Three runs this prep and has gotten worse each time. Very happy to take on.
17. Garud: Decent enough run in the Seymour Cup last start. Previous run in Open grade at course and similar grade was good also. Obviously needs to go to that next level today to win though.. has the ability.
19. Transfer Allowance: Two wins this prep in a row beating average horses in BM-64 company. Ran okay next two runs but not this grade.
Comments: Wide open race. I’m convinced He or She is well under the odds and the same goes for Tall Ship here. The speed will be red hot and I really want to be on a Jacquinot Bay. The best horse in the race for mine talent wise outside of the favourite and will be allowed to set the tempo and will be very hard to get past. Awesome Rock is the main threat for mine and will be eating up the pace while The Bowler with a clean jump (you can’t trust that will occur) will be in with a good shot.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Two: 4, 6, 7, 9, 10, 15
Strategy: Jacquinot Bay Each-Way
