Gear Changes: No Gear Changes
1. Cosmic Endeavour: Had every chance first up when declared by Gai as the ‘best mare in Australia’. Up to 1400m today looks more suitable and back to a dryer track might just be the key. Barrier is better today and should be more on speed than last start.
2. May’s Dream: Old mate flew home first up at Caulfield last start. Could get a better position in running today but never won at Flemington a bit of an issue… but has a good record at this distance.
4. Miss Rose de Lago: Sensational all her runs this prep in similar grades and completed the brilliance at Caulfield with a start to finish demolition job with a brilliant ride from Katie M. Back to Flemington where she still always runs well, back 400m today is the only issue.
5. Amicus: Very nice win first up at Randwick and seems to be back to her best on that win. Wide barrier a concern but has the ability to measure up.
6. Noble Protector: Very classy runner and unlucky not to be winning over Amanpour in the GP1 last prep.. bias and wet ground did her in. Firm track today and 1400m looks ideal for mine. Rates very well.
7. Fenway: Very very good horse and clearly best over further distances than 1400m. Happy to take her on here today.
8. Madam Gangster: Gun ride last start at Caulfield for a very good win over a talented horse in Hazard. Has to take the extra step today up to 1400m doesn’t look an issue and horse has won 5 of last 6 races!
9. Platinum Rocker: Strong 2nd at Caulfield last start but this is a step up in class again. Has to improve.
10. Loved Up: Well beaten last start. Hard to have here for mine.
11. Tawteen: Risk pushing her out to 1400m and this is a stab in the dark for the stable. I like the horse but i can’t take her in this.
12. Precious Gem: Always there or there abouts and hitting the line strongly. Long time between drinks.
13. Lady Cumquat: Measured up in the city last prep but never got a win. Hasn’t won since in NZ is a concern. Not in this class from that barrier for mine.
14. Maastricht: Shown the ability last few preps to suggest she was handy, but last win was a BM-64 and first up run didn’t inspire.
15. Vezalay: Very good run last start at Caulfield when did alot wrong especially final 100m. Back to dryer surface today and perfect barrier you have to respect her.
16. Niminypiminy: Looks a very good type in the making based on previous three runs. Much harder today though.
18. Amarela: Nice enough win last start at Pakenham but this is beyond her best.
Comments: Several key chances in this race today. Certainly no walk in the park to separate them so it all comes down to value again. Cosmic Endeavour should appreciate the track conditions today and also the distance increase… WFA-G1 winner over 1300m, hard to ignore that! Miss Rose De Lago is certainly a massive price on offer today for a horse that will be there in a finish if there is a fast tempo. Amicus has to be included in the Quaddie but not sure the price is as justified it is short. Noble Protector is clearly one of the horses to beat, but i think the $3.80 is well under correct odds first up. Do like the horse but this is a classy field. Think Vezalay can run a monster again and so can Madam Gangster. Expecting a strong tempo and Cosmic Endeavour has the class to sit just off them up to 1400m today and run past them all on previous runs.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 4, 5, 6, 8, 15
Strategy: Cosmic Endeavour E/W. Smaller bet Miss Rose de Lago to win.
