Gear Changes: Our Ivanhowe – Blinkers First Time & Glue On Shoes First Time & Noseroll Off, Alpine Eagle – Noseroll First Time.
1. Fawkner: Sensational record in this type of race and over this distance.. also runs best at this track in my opinion! Handles all conditions as well…. the ultimate horse really. Will be pushing over from a wide barrier but shouldn’t have too much trouble getting a perfect position in running. Yard is confident.
2. Happy Trails: Two runs in this prep and third up is generally when he is ready to fire. Goes very well at this track and key is back to dryer track which is what he loves. Barrier helps and will get a nice run.
3. Boban: The horse to beat. Slowly run race last start at Caulfield and yes he got all the luck in running but even so had to put in some very solid sectionals on not ideal ground for his liking to get the win. Barrier helps again and will get a charmed run.
4. Dandino: Needs further to be competitive and i’m happy to take him on in this grade.
5. Smokin’ Joey: Scratched before race last start. Previous run breathing issues. Has the ability to run well but not sure he is a WFA-G1 horse honestly.
6. Weary: Massive run at Caulfield last start when missed the start, went out the back and tried to come around the field for 4th. Expect a very solid run again today but best seen on wetter tracks like last start.
7. Prince of Penzance: Flashed home when it was all said and done. Needs further to find his very best. Likes this track.
9. Entirely Platinum: Close but just missed last start. 1600m as good for the horse as 1400m but never won or placed at track is a concern. Can run well.
10. Mongolian Khan: This blokes an absolute bull. Yes he will be primed for the 1600m but it isn’t his ideal and i’ll let him go around without my money on today.
11. Volkstok’n’barrell: Ran well enough first up over the unsuitable 1400m needing the run. 1600m not much better for mine from a horrible barrier. Take on.
12. Magicool: Not a wet tracker… back to Good track today you have to forgive at least for the first up run and over 1600m today.. but really it would shock if he got top 2.
13. Hi World: Had his chances first up at Caulfield on the suitable wetter surface…. wasn’t good enough. Poor barrier, take on for mine.
14. Alpine Eagle: Is he the real deal? I’m not sold sorry. Up to WFA-G1 grade and this is his first attempt. Super green first up this prep over 1400m in Adelaide and never a chance. Back to dryer surface suits but he will be giving them loads of lengths and i can’t see it.
15. Rising Romance: Sensational run first up when alot went wrong 3-wide the trip and got shuffled back then blocked for runs and still hit the line like a speed demon. Closer to the speed today from barrier 1 and back to a dryer surface and up in distance… suited!
16. Gust of Wind: Needs further does hold mate Gust of Wind.
17. Awesome Rock: Struggle to see the required improvement to win this.
Comments: Several key chances in this race but three rate well enough for me to consider them the standouts in Fawkner, Boban and Rising Romance. Think the price on Rising Romance is huge but i’m happy to back all three and hope for a win from one of them.
Confidence 85%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 9, 15
Strategy: Back Boban for 1.3 units, Fawkner for 1.1 units and Rising Romance for 0.5 units. Odds of $2.20 on this bet at time of publishing (Top Fixed Tote prices – higher betfair)
