Flemington Race 7
Instrumentalist: Two average trials leading into this. Clearly needs the run today at this distance as found best last prep over 2400m. No thanks at weights.
Streets Away: Goes okay enough at this distance in the past including a win at this track two preps back.. been almost a year between runs and last prep failed to get within 7 lengths. While this is the trainer that can turn them around, I can’t see it at the weights.
Zuma Roc: Very poor last start at Caulfield first up over this distance. Previous prep only run was a very good win so no sure what to make of first up run. May just want it with less speed? I guess you have to forgive last start but even so i think others are preferred today.
Charmed Harmony: Very strong win, painless in the end last start at Caulfield on a Good 4 track…. which raced more like a soft 5 IMO. Will get a wet enough track again today and over the 1400m distance this is ideal. No issues with the barrier either, will be able to take his time to get to the front and just keep rolling.
LuckyI’mBareFoot: Returned to his best this prep it seems with a nice heavy track win three back and soft 6 win last start. This is MUCH harder class though and maps further back than i’d want to be to be a winning hope today.
Pago Rock: Every chance the last few runs but been well found out. Up to 1400m a throw at the stumps really… i can’t see it here.
Royal Island: Hard to rate the first two runs this prep when had every chance first up and was very poor last start. Has in the past had no issues on either of those surfaces so finding it hard to respect back to firmer today.
Text’n Hurley: Failed to win so far this prep and had 50 days off to freshen up. Two back run would see her measure up well enough here but very poor barrier today a massive issue.
Correggio: A long time between drinks and last win was over 1800m. Can’t see at this distance.
Electric Fusion: Last win two preps back was over 2000m. Last prep failed to place in 7 runs… struggle to suggest.
Club Command: Freshen up did the trick and with top weight ran very well at Bendigo in easier class over 1300m. No issues with surface today and has a very good record at the track. Nice barrier and off 51kg with claim looks well in… will sit close enough.
Vizhaka: Failed to measure up at the top level in the past. Last prep found nothing and previous prep best runs were over further. One i want to take on.
Albonetti: I have a very high opinion of this horse. The wetter the better for her… but do get the feeling will be suited with a run under her belt over slightly further say 1600-2000m like shown last prep.
Flyingconi: Looked to be ready to improve two back but then last start found nothing at all. Struggle to suggest on what we have seen this prep.
Khutulun: Eye-catching run last start at Caulfield when came home strong late from out the back. Will find best over further this prep…Maps well enouigh with D Oliver onboard though.
Free of Doubt: Just not going well enough this prep to suggest he is in for a win today. A few more runs required to back.
Comments: When all is said and done, i’m expecting we will get a Good 4 to Soft 5 track and Charmed Harmony looks well suited based on tempo and class around him. The $2.80 being bet is backable, but on my ratings I wouldn’t go anything below $2.55.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Two: 4, 8, 12, 14, 16
Strategy: Charmed Harmony to win.
