1. Eloping: Clearly has ability. 3 runs at track and just missed a few times down the straight. 2nd up form is solid and only run on a soft track was a win. First up run off the speed was the difference I feel… hasn’t won in more than a year a concern for such a talented mare with over $1mill in earnings.
3. Afleet Esprit: Drawn well enough to get a sit and to run on late. Only run on soft was okay. Slow away last start meant she was just too far back off a leader dominated race. Previous run was good. Has won at track previously.
4. Miss Promiscuity: Crying out for the wet track and gets it today. Very good run from on speed last start at Caulfield just to miss. Weighted nicely here and from inside barrier will get a good rails position. Has won at course and distance.
5. Ygritte: Beat a nice type in Federal on soft last prep over 1200m in 3YO-LR grade. First up run very poor from on speed. Take on.
6. I Love It: Well enough suited and ran nicely first up at Caulfield. Never placed at track but last win ever was on a soft track. Has to improve but has the ability.
7. In Style: Went around as our best bet of the day last start at Caulfield and missed the start by at least 5 lengths. It was a horror day honestly. Group 1 winner over 1200m from on speed back home and also Group 3 winner. Only run on soft didn’t place which is a little concerning but it was a long time ago. Group 1 winner and only gets 57.5kg here. Well over the odds.
8. The Messina Nymph: Goes nicely enough on soft tracks. Three runs this prep ran well enough but last start with no issues failed very hard. Not for me on that run. Does handle straight.
9. Brook Road: Given a ‘nothing’ run last start at Caulfield and never a chance. Very big run two back at Moonee Valley. Appreciates wet tracks… have to consider if handles straight.
10. Dublin Lass: Very good horse on last few preps… ignore last start run. Goes well first up but this is a big assignment. Best runs on dryer tracks. Tough ask today.
11. Japhils: Was every chance last start at Caulfield but Afleet Esprit got past. Consistent type. Prefers dryer.
12. Pittsburgh Flyer: Blocked for runs last start at Caulfield so forgive run. Based on previous form I think she has to improve to win this. Has won at track down straight a positive. Average wet form though.
13. Nautical: Two runs this prep has improved each time. Has to improve onwards again to measure up in this though.. 1 win from 10 starts at track. Never won on wet.
14. Hidden Pearl: Very good horse. I have a massive opinion of her. Can win.
15. I Am Gypsy: Won 3 in a row going through the grades over in Adelaide. This is a massive jump up in grade though. Soft form not good enough.
16. Catch That Cat: Meow. Strong win four back… last three runs proved she is just a step off them this prep.
17. Judical Rock: One I’m happy to take on in this race. Only wins on soft tracks.
18. Tuscan Sling: Only run on a wet track was a 3L maiden win on heavy. Ran very well the two runs this prep but needs to improve to be winning again today.
19. Northern Saint: Nice enough runs the last few runs this prep but one I’m happy to take on. Hasn’t shown best on the soft.
20. Matilija: Every chance the last three runs. Others preferred.
21. Oh So Assertive: I like this horse but even i couldn’t suggest a win in this class.
Comments: Lumosty heads to the main race on Saturday so we have a very open race. Hidden Pearl is a massive chance on my ratings while In Style is huge overs for a Group 1 winner. This race is wide open on paper.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 7, 9, 14, 18
Strategy: Back Hidden Pearl and In Style to win.
