Flemington Race 6
Crafty Cruiser: Hard horse to catch. Stays at the same weights today and if repeats four and five back runs can win this today. Have to include in your Quaddie, you just have to.
Black Jag: Callow whacked the shit outta him last start and got him home. Good old backhand whipping, i counted over 20 whips before the 100m – all legal under the rules. Up 2.5kg today but based on progression can continue to run well. They will be chasing him all the way.
Cooldini: Shown very little to appreciate this prep and I couldn’t be anywhere near him today. Take him on.
Cadillac Mountain: Ran very well last start at MV back to 2040m when 2nd to Digitalism. Up in weight and distance today, based on previous prep when won at this grade similar distance into prep, he looks very well in. Most importantly, you know the speed will be on for him today, all comes down to the ride.
De Little Engine: Struggled to suggest how they were betting this horse as short priced favourite last start and did fail to place. Certainly nog going anywhere near as good as previous prep. Two back run was only fair if honest and last start well beaten by 3 others in what should have been a staying test that suited. 6 runs for 0 wins at this class most important to remember today when taking the shorts, good luck.
Stable Star: Ran fine last start at Flemington but well up at weights and not a wet track which is needed. Can’t win.
Lucciola: I think the trick to this horse is that she really wants cheap sectionals and a final 400m sprint… won’t get that today and take her on for those reasons listed. Does have the top ratings to measure up but not on last three runs.
Arch Fire: Flying over the Hurdles so no excuse why he can’t win here either over a suitable distance…. but best seen on wetter tracks it has to be said.
Prizum: Continues to run well this prep the old bloke. 18 runs at track for 0 wins and 18 runs at class for 0 wins. Place for me today again i’d suggest especially at distance he has never won at.
You Think So: Old mate just hasn’t shown anything this prep and i’m taking him on again especially up in the weights, yuck!
Practiced: Big win last start at course over similar distance blinkers on. Hard task today up to this grade at the weights though.
Jo Jo Girl: Best runs in past to measure up to this rating today have been on wetter tracks i thought. Not sure i can back her or put in Quaddie today, tough task sending her down for this, but hey, have a throw at the stumps, why not!
Timikar: Couldn’t touch him today based on previous run.
Comments: De Little Engine is the false favourite, once again. Taking the horse on today. Cadillac Mountain is the horse that can take the step up today up to this distance while Black Jag can’t be dropped off just because he has gone up in the weights.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 7, 10
Strategy: Cadillac Mountain to win (1 unit). Black Jag to win (0.75 units)
