Disposition: Unlucky 2nd in WFA-G1 over 1800m to Moriarty over in Perth to finish last prep which included impressive wins over these distances. Will be far back in the run and is a massive chance if improved today.
Stratum Star: Ran well first up at Sandown. Back to Flemington where he always runs a good race and up to 1400m is suited. Has the ability to win.
Chivalry: Loves to run home well late and not win. Fair enough run first up to suggest in for an okay prep.
Merion: Better weighted today than Chivalry. Strong run first up and looks to be in for a nice prep also. Better when a sit just off speed rather than lead though is important factor. Rated very well last start.
San Nicasio: Got an easy lead and easy win last start at Caulfield. Barrier hurts chances today at a track that won’t suit as much. Much harder today. Happy to take on.
Testashadow: Rated okay runs last prep. Yes he was fairly huge from the back at Gold Coast and was a very nice 2nd, but I really do rate this race a little harder. Had a good 6 weeks off between runs which will have done a world of good. Have to respect.
Wandjina: First up today off a very solid prep last prep. Found his best over these distances but is a tricky horse to rate. Not sure gets the speed required to find another level… Oliver on and good barrier.
Bascule: Very average last two runs. Rate on two runs before that, but long time since we saw a decent run.
Lucky Liberty: Huge win last start at Flemington. Did a load of work and didn’t deserve to win but still found a way. Class does prevail when needed… but massive step up today. Looks unders.
Hauraki: Flat first up. Previous preps runs rated very highly. Can bounce back here.
Orient Lane: Had his chances first up. Very flat and couldn’t find much when required. Others preferred.
Better Land: Very very poor run first up. Couldn’t be near him today based on what we saw.
Comments: Very tough race for the start of the Quaddie. I think Merion is a huge price here in a very wide open race. Disposition could be anything when measuring up here. Stratum Star was nice first up and so was Chivalry. Happy to take on San Nicasio today. Testashadow is probably over odds… wandjina hard to rate but good jockey and maps well… Lucky Liberty i’m really keen to take on. Hauraki could be anything also! I think Disposition is the real deal and Merion is flying also.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 10
Strategy: Disposition to win. Smaller bet Merion.
