Gear Changes: Sterling City – Lugging Bit First Time
1. Lucky Hussler: Massive last prep when winning a WFA-G1 at Moonee Valley. Previous prep won a Group 3 and 2nd in Group 1… also ran 1L behind Dissident in a WFA-G1… serious horse and he looks the real deal. While i dislike the jockey choice, it’s fairly hard to do something wrong on this type of horse in a straight race… but bossy could find a way from this barrier.
2. Sterling City: Looks like he wants the run. Very poor last prep the issue but he has the ability to obviously measure up here.
3. Amorino: Take it on and it wins, back it and it loses! First up and back to 1200m, take it on in this.
4. Rich Enuff: No disgrace first up at Caulfield on a wet surface. Back to firmer track today will be much better suited, but he has been taken on in the markets the past 24 hours. Loves the straight.
5. Under The Louvre: He ran a shocker first up and it was no real surprise off that trial he put in. Loves the straight and measures up well around Lucky Hussler, but i really feel he needs the run.
6. Riziz: Continues to run well and in career best form it appears. Beat Alpine Eagle two back and won well since. Have to respect and Kah doesn’t come over on a Saturday to lose a race.
7. Gregers: Did too much work first run in at MV. Never won down straight a huge concern…. stable suggests going very well.
8. Setinum: Not the worst run last start in WFA-G1 3L 11th to Boban. Back to 1200m and down the straight will suit. Can win.
9. Jabali: Finished off last prep with a huge win in 3Y-GP2 at Doomben. 1200m first up today, take one.
10. Worthy Cause: Measured up to the top class last prep but just didn’t take the extra step. Best seen over further.
11. Churchill Dancer: Weighted very well again today. Huge win last start at Moonee Valley and looks well in from the barrier. Yard has huge opinion of him. Has won down the straight more than once before.
12. Il Cavallo: Couldn’t touch him even if he has a good record at track.. His last two runs he had every chance.
13. Kaepernick: Hawkes runner first up today. Toughest test too date.
Comments: Rich Enuff will be leading and be hard to run down off the weights. Lucky Hussler top weight but tricky barrier today. Churchill Dancer has been very well backed and all value appears to be gone at the $7 price. Gregers and Riziz have to both be respected in the market also while Setinum can repeat two back run to win. Slight lean back to dryer surface that Rich Enuff can return to glory.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 4, 6, 7, 8, 11
Strategy: Rich Enuff to win. Smaller bet Riziz to win.
