Flemington Race 6
Rough Justice: Consistent type that simply loves the Flemington straight. Back to the 1100m today is key as I don’t believe he gets the 1200m distance. No issues with the wetter track condition today or the weight. Rates to win and barrier helps.
Valiant Warrior: Very talented Tasmanian runner. First up today and sent over for the trip, he defeated Admiral over the 1200m last prep who is a horse that measured up to our top quality runners in the Autumn. Won 6 from 8 runs to date, both runs on soft tracks were wins. Very well in here as long as he handles the straight.
I Am The General: Had a good prep to date with 2 wins from 5 runs and been there or there abouts every other run. Big step up in class today though. Has won at track previously helps.
Lockroy: Down from Sydney… finally struck a win two runs back at Rosehill over the 1200m. Didn’t handle the heavy so sent down here to target a dryer track clearly. Has ability.
Supido: Lightly raced well fancied galloper. First run ever was 0.8L 2nd to Rough Justice at Caulfield… then beaten next start by Eloping. Easy kill in a maiden last prep and straight for a break… may be under-done today first up compared to say Rough Justice who is five up today and fit.
Lord Esprit: Further back than expected first up and just missed running 2nd to Rough Justice. Much better weighted today as well and fitter second up. Has to be respected.
All Aussie: Easy kill first up in 5 horse maiden. Struggle to suggest straight into this class even if looks a smart type.
Diamond Baroness: Lead and win by nearly 5 lengths first up in a well paying Geelong Synthetic maiden first up from out the front. Appeals on that run but happy to take on in this class down the straight first up. Could surprise though.
IOnlyThinkOfYou: Showed nothing first up at Pakenham. Previous prep won a maiden and measured up in similar class at MV. First time the straight and very hard horse to judge on form.
Harlem Star: Had to be sent back to a R-58 last start to win. Enough said on that today really.
Moment of Pride: Decent enough run last start at Pakenham in Bm-64 grade when 3rd to Spirit Cent running wide and blocked for runs. Certainly has ability and has to be considered.
Mossara Lad: Sent to R-58 grade and won well last start… but questionable having to go to a R-58 to win a race then straight into a 3YO race? Understand it’s taking advantage of ratings, but didn’t win first up in R-58.
Viking Ransom: Hard horse to catch. Looked a good type first prep winning well in Maiden company then did alot wrong next start running well. First up pulled up lame after run when favourite. At his best he can run well.
Bian Hard: Never seen him so impossible to know what to expect outside of market guide.
What a Hoot: Hard to suggest on last two runs… did show enough three back so back to 1200m should suit.. but can’t see him measuring up to beat all these home if i’m honest.
Comments: Wide open race with several key chances in the race at the top of the market. A few progressive types coming through the grades that could surprise with bold runs, but i’m happy to suggest this is a race where the higher weights have the points on the board. Valiant Warrior is a horse i’ve been watching for a while down south and they wouldn’t be sending him over under-done. Won 6 and placed once from 8 runs to date… this is his hardest test ever, but Admiral form should hold him in good company today and the soft track is ideal.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 11
Strategy: Valiant Warrior Each-Way
